La escuela de los momios

Montpellier v Troyes

Inicio: 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Montpellier (Local)

Predicción 32.05%3.12momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.843%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.20%32.20%31.98%34.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.812.813.0438.02%35.62%35.59%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Troyes (Visitante)

Predicción 40.17%2.49momio equitativo
EV +0.436%
Ventaja +0.174%
Kelly +0.291%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.61%40.03%40.19%41.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.342.302.5045.45%42.74%43.48%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -0.797%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.77%27.83%29.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.59%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 05:30
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.70%E -5.97%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV +0.436%E +0.174%K +0.291%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 00:04
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.00%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.34%EV -1.97%E -0.809%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 11:45
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.00%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.34%EV -1.97%E -0.809%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 11:45
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.56%E -0.843%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.14%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 11:30
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 11:45
1xBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:30
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -6.09%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -6.80%E -2.93%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -7.24%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 11:44
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.79%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.87%EV -7.79%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 11:38
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 11:45
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:30
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 11:30
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:20
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:20
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:20
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.41%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.40%E -3.69%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.41%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.40%E -3.69%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:44
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.69%EV -8.80%E -3.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 11:44
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.01%EV -9.61%E -3.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.77%EV -8.80%E -3.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:45
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:42
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 11:45
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:30
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 11:45
Suprabets2.91I 34.36%NM 31.25%EV -6.73%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.33%EV -10.85%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:45
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:44
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.12%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:45
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 11:45
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 11:45
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 11:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.46%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.73%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 11:29
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -13.46%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -13.46%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -20.01%E -6.95%K -10.64%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-04 11:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-04 11:45
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-04 11:45
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-04 11:44