Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montpellier v Stade de Reims

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 19:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montpellier (Local)

Prediction 30.19%3.31fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -0.838%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.86%30.26%30.22%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.2536.36%33.58%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade de Reims (Visit)

Prediction 40.92%2.44fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.20%40.85%40.85%42.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.272.3847.62%43.93%43.96%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -0.863%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%28.90%28.92%29.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.153.3934.48%31.68%31.75%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montpellier (Local): 30.19%; Stade de Reims (Visit): 40.92%; Draw: 28.89%. For Montpellier (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -1.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -1.89%E -0.580%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.34%EV -4.66%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.02%EV -4.08%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 18:59
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -1.89%E -0.580%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.28%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.89%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.82%EV -4.08%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.28%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.89%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.82%EV -4.08%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 18:59
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.36%EV -5.51%E -1.76%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.36%EV -11.20%E -5.16%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 18:58
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 18:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.92%EV -6.70%E -2.94%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -6.97%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 19:00
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 18:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -8.75%E -3.92%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:58
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -8.75%E -3.92%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:59
Everygame🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 18:59
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -8.23%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.75%EV -4.66%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.01%EV -2.06%E -0.608%K -0.863%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:59
Suprabets🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 29.98%EV -8.53%E -2.81%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.91%EV -9.16%E -4.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.11%EV -9.86%E -3.16%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:58
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:59
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:58
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:00
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:59
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:59
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 18:59
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.02%E -5.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.97%EV -7.11%E -3.13%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:59
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 19:00
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.93%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.85%EV -14.07%E -6.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -16.22%E -5.59%K -8.54%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-27 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.06%E -4.53%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 19:00
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -13.06%E -4.53%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -12.02%E -5.59%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -15.47%E -5.53%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -15.47%E -5.53%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -15.47%E -5.53%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 18:59
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -15.47%E -5.53%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-27 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -16.98%E -6.17%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -4.66%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -16.98%E -6.17%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -4.66%E -2.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 19:00
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -16.98%E -6.17%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -5.88%E -2.56%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-27 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-02-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-02-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-27 19:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%2.8%2026-02-27 18:59
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 32.24%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.26%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.51%10.0%2026-02-27 19:00