Language:English
Montpellier v Grenoble
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montpellier (Local)
Prediction 57.61%1.74fair odd
EV -6.09%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -9.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%57.53%57.61%59.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.581.601.6367.11%63.22%62.50%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grenoble (Visit)
Prediction 17.47%5.72fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.229%
Kelly +0.276%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.12%17.40%17.58%18.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.295.285.8021.74%18.92%18.96%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.92%4.01fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.723%
Kelly -0.973%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.97%25.08%24.81%26.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.653.703.9029.85%27.38%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montpellier (Local): 57.61%; Grenoble (Visit): 17.47%; Draw: 24.92%. For Grenoble (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.72. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +1.33%E +0.229%K +0.276%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -2.82%E -0.723%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +1.33%E +0.229%K +0.276%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -2.82%E -0.723%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +1.33%E +0.229%K +0.276%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -2.82%E -0.723%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +1.33%E +0.229%K +0.276%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -2.82%E -0.723%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +1.33%E +0.229%K +0.276%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -2.82%E -0.723%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +1.33%E +0.229%K +0.276%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -2.82%E -0.723%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +1.33%E +0.229%K +0.276%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -2.82%E -0.723%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +1.33%E +0.229%K +0.276%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -2.82%E -0.723%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.92%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV +1.33%E +0.229%K +0.276%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -2.82%E -0.723%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.59%EV -6.09%E -3.74%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +0.453%E +0.079%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.07%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 21:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.31%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.56%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-25 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.30%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.30%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.30%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.55%E -6.08%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-23 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.55%E -6.08%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-23 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.55%E -6.08%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -10.70%E -6.90%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -13.58%E -9.05%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -13.58%E -9.05%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -13.58%E -9.05%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -3.91%E -0.712%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.19%EV -6.67%E -4.12%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.20%EV -4.26%E -0.778%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-23 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.38%EV -14.16%E -9.50%K -28.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.38%EV -5.66%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -9.05%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-04 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.81%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -7.41%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.62%EV -5.81%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-25 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.67%E -4.12%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -7.41%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -14.03%E -4.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-22 09:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.67%E -4.12%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -7.41%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -14.03%E -4.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-22 09:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -6.67%E -4.12%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.31%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -6.67%E -4.12%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -6.56%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 04:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.56%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-23 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -8.28%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -7.80%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.38%EV -6.09%E -3.74%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.88%EV -8.63%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.74%EV -5.81%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.04%EV -10.70%E -6.90%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -10.90%E -2.14%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -14.03%E -4.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-03 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.56%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -6.67%E -4.12%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.30%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-02 13:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -6.67%E -4.12%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.30%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-02 13:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -6.67%E -4.12%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.79%E -3.65%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-23 09:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.60%EV -6.09%E -3.74%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -14.03%E -4.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-22 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.79%E -3.65%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-23 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.79%E -3.65%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-23 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.24%E -4.50%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.79%E -3.65%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-23 09:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.79%E -3.65%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.09%EV -8.40%E -5.28%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.08%EV -14.78%E -4.32%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-24 18:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -9.55%E -6.08%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.79%E -3.65%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-02 06:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.13%EV -10.70%E -6.90%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -12.65%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 25.16%EV -12.29%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-23 09:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.75%EV -11.85%E -7.75%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.72%EV -14.40%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -15.28%E -4.49%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-30 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.79%E -3.65%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.79%E -3.65%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.79%E -3.65%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.82%E -4.89%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.14%E -3.36%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.79%E -3.65%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 19:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.43%EV -11.85%E -7.75%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.18%EV -17.02%E -3.58%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.39%EV -15.28%E -4.49%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-23 11:46 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.74%EV -8.97%E -5.68%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74%EV -17.89%E -3.81%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -14.03%E -4.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-22 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.41%EV -10.13%E -6.49%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.79%EV -19.64%E -4.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.80%EV -16.53%E -4.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-22 09:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 54.96% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.24% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79% | 16.6% | 2026-09-29 18:45 |