La escuela de los momios

Montpellier v Clermont

Inicio: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: Montpellier 1–2 Clermont

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Montpellier (Local)

Predicción 57.78%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -4.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.19%57.77%57.74%59.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.41%62.31%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Clermont (Visitante)

Predicción 19.61%5.10momio equitativo
EV +1.36%
Ventaja +0.263%
Kelly +0.326%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.52%19.59%19.65%21.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.674.705.1723.81%21.43%21.28%19.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.62%4.42momio equitativo
EV +0.186%
Ventaja +0.042%
Kelly +0.054%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.54%22.64%22.60%25.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.004.004.4329.41%24.99%25.00%22.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.86%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.52%EV +1.36%E +0.263%K +0.326%G +0.004%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.62%EV +0.186%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -1.97%E -0.395%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 17:15
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -8.13%E -5.11%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.97%E -0.395%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.97%E -0.395%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 17:40
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.94%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -2.75%E -0.640%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -9.29%E -5.91%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -3.94%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.08%E -0.479%K -0.623%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:40
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -9.86%E -6.32%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -3.94%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:54
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -5.90%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:15
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.29%E -5.91%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -5.90%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:35
Suprabets1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -11.02%E -7.16%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -5.90%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:37
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -2.08%E -0.479%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:54
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:15
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:15
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -8.13%E -5.11%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:34
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.29%E -5.91%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 17:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 17:55
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.60%EV -2.93%E -1.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.15%EV -7.46%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.25%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:35
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:35
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -8.84%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 17:35
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -8.84%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 17:35
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:15
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.71%E -5.51%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 17:35
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -9.29%E -5.91%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:35
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:10
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:35
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -8.71%E -5.51%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.35%EV -9.86%E -6.32%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.88%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.77%EV -11.12%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 17:34
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -10.44%E -6.74%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -23.11%E -6.80%K -9.63%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.74%E -3.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.74%E -3.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.11%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 17:40
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -17.66%E -4.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -17.66%E -4.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.66%E -4.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 17:15
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.66%E -4.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 17:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-05-02 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-02 17:55
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-02 17:55
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.45%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.40%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-05-02 17:55