مدرسة الاحتمالات

Montpellier v Clermont

البداية: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Montpellier 1–2 Clermont

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Montpellier (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.78%1.73السعر العادل
EV -2.93%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -4.31%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.19%57.77%57.74%59.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.601.601.6865.36%62.41%62.31%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Clermont (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.61%5.10السعر العادل
EV +1.36%
الأفضلية +0.263%
Kelly +0.326%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.52%19.59%19.65%21.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.674.705.1723.81%21.43%21.28%19.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.62%4.42السعر العادل
EV +0.186%
الأفضلية +0.042%
Kelly +0.054%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.54%22.64%22.60%25.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.004.004.4329.41%24.99%25.00%22.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.86%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.52%EV +1.36%E +0.263%K +0.326%G +0.004%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.62%EV +0.186%E +0.042%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -1.97%E -0.395%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 17:15
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -8.13%E -5.11%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.97%E -0.395%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.97%E -0.395%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 17:40
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.94%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -2.75%E -0.640%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -9.29%E -5.91%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -3.94%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.08%E -0.479%K -0.623%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:40
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -9.86%E -6.32%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -3.94%E -0.803%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:54
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -5.90%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:15
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.29%E -5.91%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -5.90%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:35
Suprabets1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -11.02%E -7.16%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -5.90%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:37
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -2.08%E -0.479%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:54
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:15
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -4.66%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:15
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -8.13%E -5.11%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:34
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.29%E -5.91%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 17:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -6.88%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 17:55
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.60%EV -2.93%E -1.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.15%EV -7.46%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.25%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:35
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:35
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.86%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:35
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -8.84%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 17:35
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -8.84%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 17:35
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:15
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.71%E -5.51%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 17:35
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -9.29%E -5.91%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:35
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.82%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:10
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:35
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -8.71%E -5.51%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.35%EV -9.86%E -6.32%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.88%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.77%EV -11.12%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 17:34
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -10.44%E -6.74%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -11.78%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -23.11%E -6.80%K -9.63%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.74%E -3.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.74%E -3.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -7.28%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.11%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -9.54%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 17:40
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -17.66%E -4.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -17.66%E -4.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.66%E -4.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 17:15
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -17.66%E -4.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 17:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-05-02 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-02 17:55
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-02 17:55
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.45%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.40%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-05-02 17:55