The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Metz v Stade Lavallois

2026-08-22 12:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Metz (Local)

Prediction 51.65%1.94fair odd
EV -5.49%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -6.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.83%51.58%51.67%52.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8358.82%56.01%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade Lavallois (Visit)

Prediction 21.73%4.60fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -0.950%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%21.75%21.70%23.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.154.204.4126.67%24.12%23.81%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.67%26.64%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.453.6030.77%29.26%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Metz (Local): 51.65%; Stade Lavallois (Visit): 21.73%; Draw: 26.63%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -4.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -5.49%E -3.00%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.49%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -3.00%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.00%E -3.30%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 17:29
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.19%EV -6.52%E -3.60%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.42%EV -4.19%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.39%EV -4.67%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 17:19
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.78%EV -6.52%E -3.60%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.90%EV -7.02%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.33%EV -5.21%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 17:29
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.67%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.54%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.54%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 17:19
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 17:14
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.93%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 17:15
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 17:29
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 13:45
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 13:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 17:24
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.27%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 13:54
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.27%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 13:55
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.27%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.27%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.11%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -5.21%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -8.07%E -4.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.93%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 17:14
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -10.93%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 17:29
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-17 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -9.10%E -5.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.61%EV -8.93%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 17:13
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.62%E -5.50%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 17:14
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.62%E -5.50%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.88%EV -9.62%E -5.50%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -10.93%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-17 13:45
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -10.65%E -6.16%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -18.53%E -4.94%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-17 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -11.17%E -6.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 17:15
Suprabets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.57%EV -11.17%E -6.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.93%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 26.80%EV -11.86%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 17:13
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -12.20%E -7.18%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-17 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 50.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%16.9%2026-08-17 13:44

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