The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guingamp v Rodez AF

2026-11-20 19:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guingamp (Local)

Prediction 46.03%2.17fair odd
EV -6.55%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -6.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.90%46.03%45.92%47.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.982.002.0356.18%50.58%50.00%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rodez AF (Visit)

Prediction 27.74%3.60fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.74%27.83%28.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.303.4133.33%30.52%30.30%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.511%
Kelly -0.698%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%26.22%26.24%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.503.7431.25%28.88%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Guingamp (Local): 46.03%; Rodez AF (Visit): 27.74%; Draw: 26.23%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.74, with an expected value of -1.91%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%EV -6.55%E -3.23%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.84%EV -5.40%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.39%EV -1.91%E -0.511%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.01%E -3.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.14%E -3.62%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-09 13:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.01%E -3.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.14%E -3.62%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-09 13:55
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.46%EV -7.48%E -3.72%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -2.96%E -0.800%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 13:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 14:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 14:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 14:04
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 14:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.21%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 16:37
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.71%EV -8.40%E -4.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -2.96%E -0.800%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.54%EV -10.70%E -5.51%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.44%EV -10.67%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.02%EV -14.24%E -4.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-09 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -10.70%E -5.51%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.00%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -13.45%E -4.08%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-09 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 44.90%EV -12.54%E -6.60%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.44%EV -16.78%E -5.59%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%EV -16.07%E -5.02%K -7.31%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-09 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 47.34%EV -18.06%E -10.15%K -23.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.33%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.33%EV -16.07%E -5.02%K -7.31%G +0.000%18.7%2026-11-09 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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