L’École des cotes

Guingamp v Rodez AF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Guingamp (Local)

Prévision 52.60%1.90cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -5.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.83%52.56%52.55%53.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.751.8259.88%57.15%57.31%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rodez AF (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.72%4.40cote équitable
EV -0.021%
Avantage -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.63%22.72%22.72%23.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.024.004.4026.67%24.85%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.68%4.05cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.575%
Kelly -0.770%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.65%24.72%24.73%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.703.733.9631.25%27.00%26.85%25.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 12:50
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.43%EV -2.75%E -0.642%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV -2.28%E -0.575%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 12:50
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.05%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -3.43%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.76%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 08:54
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.05%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -3.43%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.76%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 08:55
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.021%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 12:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -6.84%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.76%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 12:50
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.25%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.25%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 10:30
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 11:50
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.63%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -3.43%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:50
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 11:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.84%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:50
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 07:14
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -12.52%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.40%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -12.52%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.76%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.40%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -12.52%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.76%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:25
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -7.97%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 12:50
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -7.97%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 12:49
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -7.97%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 12:50
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 12:50
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 11:51
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.43%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.06%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:50
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.84%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 12:50
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 08:56
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 10:05
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 07:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 11:51
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 11:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:50
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 53.03%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.84%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.72%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 12:49
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 17:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -10.05%E -5.88%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 07:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -12.16%E -7.28%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.16%E -7.28%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.79%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -21.03%E -6.57%K -9.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-28 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-02-28 12:50