La escuela de los momios

Guingamp v Rodez AF

Inicio: 2026-02-28 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Guingamp (Local)

Predicción 52.60%1.90momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -5.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.83%52.56%52.55%53.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.751.8259.88%57.15%57.31%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rodez AF (Visitante)

Predicción 22.72%4.40momio equitativo
EV -0.021%
Ventaja -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.63%22.72%22.72%23.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.024.004.4026.67%24.85%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.68%4.05momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.575%
Kelly -0.770%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.65%24.72%24.73%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.703.733.9631.25%27.00%26.85%25.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 12:50
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.43%EV -2.75%E -0.642%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV -2.28%E -0.575%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 12:50
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.05%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -3.43%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.76%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 08:54
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.05%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -3.43%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -3.76%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 08:55
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -0.021%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 12:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -6.84%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.76%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 12:50
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.25%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.25%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 10:30
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 11:50
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.63%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -3.43%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 12:50
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 11:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.84%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:50
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 07:14
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -12.52%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.40%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -12.52%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.76%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.40%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -12.52%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.76%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:25
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -7.97%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 12:50
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -7.97%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 12:49
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -7.97%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 12:50
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 12:50
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 11:51
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 12:50
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.48%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:00
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.43%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.06%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:50
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.84%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 12:50
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 08:56
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 10:05
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 07:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 11:51
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 11:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-28 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:50
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 53.03%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.84%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.72%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 12:49
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.69%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 17:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -10.05%E -5.88%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -4.57%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 07:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -12.16%E -7.28%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.16%E -7.28%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.79%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -21.03%E -6.57%K -9.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-28 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-02-28 12:50