L’École des cotes

Grenoble v Troyes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Score final : Grenoble 1–0 Troyes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grenoble (Local)

Prévision 26.60%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.262%
Avantage -0.070%
Kelly -0.095%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.74%26.47%26.64%27.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.503.7530.77%28.44%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Troyes (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.90%2.09cote équitable
EV -4.68%
Avantage -2.35%
Kelly -4.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.83%47.98%47.86%49.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.901.911.9957.80%52.51%52.36%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.50%3.92cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.472%
Kelly -0.637%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.21%25.55%25.50%27.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.563.553.8530.77%28.08%28.17%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -0.262%E -0.070%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -9.95%E -5.29%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:19
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -0.262%E -0.070%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -9.95%E -5.29%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:19
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -0.262%E -0.070%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -9.95%E -5.29%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:19
Pinnacle3.74I 26.74%NM 25.42%EV -0.528%E -0.141%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.02%EV -5.16%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.56%EV -8.70%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:35
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:49
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -11.38%E -6.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:30
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.34%EV -10.90%E -5.86%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:19
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.38%E -6.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:20
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.38%E -6.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:19
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.38%E -6.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:20
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.38%E -6.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:19
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.38%E -6.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:19
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.38%E -6.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:19
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.38%E -6.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:19
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -1.59%E -0.430%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.38%E -6.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:19
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.92%E -0.800%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.31%EV -4.68%E -2.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.92%E -0.800%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.31%EV -4.68%E -2.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:34
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -2.92%E -0.800%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -11.86%E -6.45%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 17:19
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -2.92%E -0.800%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -11.86%E -6.45%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -2.92%E -0.800%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -12.34%E -6.74%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:19
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -3.19%E -0.876%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.83%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.92%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:54
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.92%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:35
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -7.55%E -3.91%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -12.02%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:48
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -7.55%E -3.91%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -12.02%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:45
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.99%E -4.73%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:49
Suprabets3.53I 28.33%NM 25.75%EV -6.11%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -13.80%E -4.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 17:36
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -5.16%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -1.82%E -0.472%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 17:54
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.64%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:39
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.64%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:44
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:44
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 17:39
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.43%E -5.58%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 17:49
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -5.16%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -4.37%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:43
Betclic (FR)3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -7.07%E -3.65%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -6.15%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:43
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:54
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.37%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:34
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.64%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:35
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:34
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.64%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:34
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.19%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:45
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:19
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:19
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:19
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:19
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.38%E -6.15%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -15.84%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.93%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.99%EV -17.13%E -9.90%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.08%EV -17.12%E -5.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-09 17:49
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.92%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:44
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.92%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:44
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.83%EV -5.16%E -2.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -14.57%E -4.35%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:34
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:44
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -3.09%E -0.813%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:44
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -7.55%E -3.91%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.47%E -2.67%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.51%E -4.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.74%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 17:44
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.59%EV -12.34%E -6.74%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.29%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-05-09 17:55
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-05-09 17:54