The School of Odds
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Grenoble v Dijon

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 19:00 UTC

Final: Grenoble 1–3 Dijon

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grenoble (Local)

Prediction 28.88%3.46fair odd
EV -0.655%
Edge -0.191%
Kelly -0.269%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%28.86%28.91%31.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.123.103.4435.09%32.03%32.26%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dijon (Visit)

Prediction 42.42%2.36fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%42.40%42.50%45.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.182.3050.00%45.76%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.57%28.74%28.59%29.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.33%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grenoble (Local): 28.88%; Dijon (Visit): 42.42%; Draw: 28.70%. For Grenoble (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.44, with an expected value of -0.655%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 28.08%EV -0.655%E -0.191%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.56%EV -3.71%E -1.63%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.36%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -1.81%E -0.533%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -15.16%E -7.58%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-30 14:45
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-30 16:45
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -4.98%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -4.98%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 18:50
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -4.98%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 14:55
picklebet_au🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 18:50
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.52%E -3.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-30 18:00
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.52%E -3.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-30 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 14:55
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 14:19
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 15:33
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 16:45
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 16:45
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 15:35
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-30 17:08
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-30 18:05
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -7.52%E -3.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -3.57%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.25%EV -8.16%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.06%EV -8.37%E -3.88%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.68%EV -3.57%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-30 18:00
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-30 16:45
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -9.90%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 17:58
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -9.90%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 18:00
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-30 14:20
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-30 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-30 14:20
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-30 14:19
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.92%E -5.20%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.92%E -5.20%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 18:50
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.92%E -5.20%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -10.92%E -5.20%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-30 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.80%E -4.09%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 18:38
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.92%E -5.20%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 15:32
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -11.92%E -3.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -10.07%E -4.75%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.46%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-30 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -2.43%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 22:00
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -2.43%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 22:00
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -2.43%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 22:00
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -2.43%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 22:00
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -2.43%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -2.43%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -2.43%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -2.43%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 22:00
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -2.43%E -1.06%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 22:00
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.92%E -5.20%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-30 17:20
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.92%E -5.20%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-30 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.04%E -6.36%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-30 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -17.69%E -6.21%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -5.40%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -17.69%E -6.21%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -5.40%E -2.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -17.69%E -6.21%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -17.69%E -6.21%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-30 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -17.69%E -6.21%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -6.68%E -3.03%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-10-30 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-10-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-10-30 18:50
Matchbook◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-10-30 18:40
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-10-30 18:55