Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grenoble v Clermont

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 18:00 UTC

Final: Grenoble 1–1 Clermont

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grenoble (Local)

Prediction 38.06%2.63fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.999%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%38.24%37.97%41.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.362.402.5646.73%42.30%41.67%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clermont (Visit)

Prediction 30.87%3.24fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.546%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.70%30.78%30.93%31.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.023.003.2034.84%33.09%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.06%3.22fair odd
EV +2.51%
Edge +0.759%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.59%30.97%31.10%32.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.013.003.3036.36%33.27%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grenoble (Local): 38.06%; Clermont (Visit): 30.87%; Draw: 31.06%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV +2.51%E +0.759%K +1.09%G +0.027%6.0%2026-09-15 18:00
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -0.601%E -0.188%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:15
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:15
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:15
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:15
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -2.15%E -0.684%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 12:09
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 12:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 12:10
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:38
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.27%EV -17.40%E -8.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.27%EV -17.40%E -8.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.27%EV -17.40%E -8.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 15:15
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -2.56%E -0.999%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.48%EV -2.44%E -0.771%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -6.19%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:25
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -7.51%E -3.09%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.56%EV -5.52%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.96%EV -6.19%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.60%EV -8.27%E -3.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.60%EV -6.14%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.80%EV -6.19%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:40
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 13:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 12:05
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.45%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 05:10
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.45%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 05:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -12.45%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.39%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 05:10
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -12.45%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.39%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -18.54%E -8.67%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-17 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -4.08%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -7.43%E -2.49%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -4.08%E -1.62%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -7.43%E -2.49%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 13:00
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:07
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.45%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 15:19
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.75%EV -7.89%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.28%EV -9.30%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:40
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.75%EV -7.89%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.28%EV -9.30%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.01%EV -9.54%E -3.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.12%EV -9.30%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:38
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 13:15
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.76%EV -8.27%E -3.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:40
Suprabets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 12:06
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.92%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 12:05
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:05
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:05
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 12:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.11%EV -9.79%E -4.13%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.41%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.47%EV -10.85%E -3.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 13:49
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -11.47%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -1.20%E -0.375%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -11.47%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 13:25
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 15:04
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -14.58%E -5.30%K -8.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%0.4%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-09-18 15:10
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-09-18 14:40