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Grenoble v Boulogne

2026-10-16 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grenoble (Local)

Prediction 33.13%3.02fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.41%33.07%33.12%33.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.752.9039.22%36.32%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boulogne (Visit)

Prediction 36.64%2.73fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.82%36.63%36.52%37.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.21%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.24%3.31fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.70%30.30%30.36%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.013.003.2034.48%33.23%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grenoble (Local): 33.13%; Boulogne (Visit): 36.64%; Draw: 30.24%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.20, with an expected value of -3.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -3.93%E -1.36%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:24
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.04%EV -4.93%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.74%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.49%EV -5.97%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 16:40
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.11%EV -6.91%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.07%EV -8.04%E -3.20%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.82%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.25%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.76%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.25%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.25%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.25%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 17:35
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.25%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.25%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.25%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.25%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.90%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.90%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.90%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.27%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 13:59
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -8.90%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -10.80%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -8.90%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -6.58%E -2.58%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -10.80%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.90%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.41%E -3.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.08%EV -9.90%E -3.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.42%EV -9.51%E -3.85%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -10.80%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 17:42
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.56%E -3.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.24%E -4.18%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.56%E -3.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.31%EV -11.22%E -4.19%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.43%EV -10.24%E -4.18%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -10.80%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 13:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.62%EV -12.21%E -4.61%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%EV -15.73%E -6.84%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -13.87%E -5.33%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -10.80%E -3.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.99%EV -15.53%E -6.09%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.12%EV -12.07%E -5.03%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.89%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 33.62%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.86%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.52%16.2%2026-10-10 14:01