Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grenoble v Boulogne

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC

Final: Grenoble 0–2 Boulogne

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grenoble (Local)

Prediction 33.41%2.99fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.25%33.42%33.46%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.752.9338.46%36.75%36.36%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boulogne (Visit)

Prediction 34.03%2.94fair odd
EV +0.042%
Edge +0.014%
Kelly +0.021%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.92%33.99%33.95%35.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.692.702.9438.91%37.14%37.04%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.56%3.07fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.774%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.21%32.59%32.59%34.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.65%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grenoble (Local): 33.41%; Boulogne (Visit): 34.03%; Draw: 32.56%. For Boulogne (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.939. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.940, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.042%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.80%EV -4.77%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.76%EV +0.042%E +0.014%K +0.021%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.44%EV -6.23%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 17:45
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -2.32%E -0.774%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -3.02%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -15.35%E -5.90%K -9.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-16 17:45
BetUS🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.83%EV -2.10%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.04%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.06%EV -5.25%E -1.81%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-16 17:50
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -4.77%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 17:18
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.72%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -6.23%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 17:30
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.44%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -6.23%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 17:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -3.95%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -4.77%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.46%E -3.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 17:50
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.58%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-16 17:20
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -10.46%E -3.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 17:44
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -10.46%E -3.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 17:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -10.46%E -3.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -10.46%E -3.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 17:44
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -12.12%E -4.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.35%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.83%EV -14.37%E -5.46%K -8.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-16 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -2.43%E -0.833%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -6.76%E -2.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -8.18%E -2.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -2.43%E -0.833%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -6.76%E -2.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -8.18%E -2.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -4.77%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -6.23%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 17:44
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.58%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-16 17:18
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 17:49
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.44%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -12.09%E -4.48%K -7.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 17:49
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -13.13%E -5.05%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -5.58%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-16 17:20
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -12.09%E -4.48%K -7.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-16 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -12.09%E -4.48%K -7.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-16 17:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.46%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:30
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.46%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.46%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.46%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:30
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.46%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.46%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.46%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.46%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:30
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.46%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.74%EV -10.79%E -4.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.74%EV -9.15%E -3.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.52%EV -9.81%E -3.54%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-16 17:49
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -6.44%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.49%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.87%EV -9.49%E -3.41%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-16 17:45
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -6.44%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.49%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.87%EV -9.49%E -3.41%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-16 17:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -12.12%E -4.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.66%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.46%E -3.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 17:30
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -12.12%E -4.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.66%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.46%E -3.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.54%EV -13.13%E -5.05%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.91%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.54%EV -15.35%E -5.90%K -9.59%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-16 17:35
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.57%EV -7.45%E -2.69%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.22%EV -10.17%E -3.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.21%EV -2.97%E -0.998%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.57%EV -7.45%E -2.69%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.22%EV -10.17%E -3.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.21%EV -2.97%E -0.998%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.88%EV -13.13%E -5.05%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.49%EV -10.51%E -4.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.63%EV -12.09%E -4.48%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-16 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.88%EV -13.13%E -5.05%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.49%EV -10.51%E -4.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.63%EV -12.09%E -4.48%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-16 17:30
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -10.85%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -6.23%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-16 17:48
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.01%EV -10.85%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -12.09%E -4.48%K -7.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-16 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -13.13%E -5.05%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.97%EV -10.85%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-16 17:20
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -6.23%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-16 17:55
picklebet_au🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.44%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-16 17:45
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-16 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -9.78%E -3.62%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -7.21%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-16 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -12.12%E -4.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-16 17:20
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -12.12%E -4.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-16 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.97%EV -12.46%E -4.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-16 17:20
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.97%EV -12.46%E -4.75%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.53%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -8.83%E -3.16%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-16 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.11%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.98%EV -12.55%E -4.88%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.34%EV -9.49%E -3.41%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-16 17:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74%0.8%2026-10-16 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%1.4%2026-10-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-10-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-10-16 17:55
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-10-16 17:55