Language:English
Clermont v Red Star
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Clermont (Local)
Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -0.394%
Edge -0.106%
Kelly -0.146%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%26.81%26.99%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.7032.26%29.76%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Red Star (Visit)
Prediction 44.88%2.23fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%44.87%44.84%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1252.36%49.06%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.20%3.55fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%28.32%28.17%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.203.4033.33%30.98%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clermont (Local): 26.92%; Red Star (Visit): 44.88%; Draw: 28.20%. For Clermont (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.394%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -0.394%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 13:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.59%EV -4.16%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.07%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.34%EV -5.83%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.85%E -2.29%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 12:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-23 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-23 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 09:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 11:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-23 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -14.27%E -7.47%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-04 12:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -7.39%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.16%EV -7.09%E -3.42%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.66%EV -4.70%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 02:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.06%EV -7.39%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.40%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -4.70%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-24 02:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.12%EV -7.93%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.34%EV -11.58%E -5.88%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.54%EV -11.75%E -3.75%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-25 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-27 00:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 12:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 12:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 12:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-22 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-22 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-22 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-22 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -9.33%E -4.62%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 12:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-23 23:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-30 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-23 23:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 19:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 15:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 27.16%EV -12.24%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.27%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-25 20:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-02 06:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -12.03%E -6.14%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.91%EV -13.37%E -6.93%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.42%EV -14.01%E -4.59%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-02 05:48 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.85%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -8.44%E -4.14%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.85%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -8.44%E -4.14%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.85%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -8.44%E -4.14%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -13.85%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.85%EV -13.82%E -7.20%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -14.01%E -4.59%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-23 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -15.20%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -9.78%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.55%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -12.48%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -15.41%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-24 07:57 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.30% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.84% | 16.4% | 2026-09-30 12:05 |