The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Clermont v Guingamp

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 18:00 UTC

Final: Clermont 0–2 Guingamp

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clermont (Local)

Prediction 30.11%3.32fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.522%
Kelly +0.741%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.34%29.93%30.18%31.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.063.003.3835.71%32.63%33.33%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Guingamp (Visit)

Prediction 41.74%2.40fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.86%41.74%41.73%42.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.192.192.3048.08%45.69%45.77%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.15%3.55fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%28.33%28.10%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.243.253.4035.09%30.84%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clermont (Local): 30.11%; Guingamp (Visit): 41.74%; Draw: 28.15%. For Clermont (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.49%EV +1.76%E +0.522%K +0.741%G +0.013%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.60%EV -5.67%E -2.51%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV -6.25%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 15:07
BetOnline.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV +0.860%E +0.257%K +0.366%G +0.003%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV +0.860%E +0.257%K +0.366%G +0.003%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 15:59
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV +0.860%E +0.257%K +0.366%G +0.003%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -0.645%E -0.195%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -19.77%E -6.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:07
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 15:06
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 15:59
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:29
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.31%EV -7.75%E -3.51%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.00%EV -5.97%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 13:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.01%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:10
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.01%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:10
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.01%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.01%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:10
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.01%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:10
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.01%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.01%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.01%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:10
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.16%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -9.01%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.64%EV -5.46%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.50%EV -8.59%E -3.92%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -5.97%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 13:49
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 13:50
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 15:06
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 15:54
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 15:54
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -11.51%E -5.43%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-23 13:51
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.17%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -8.17%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-23 15:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 13:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 13:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 07:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 13:50
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 13:50
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 13:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 13:50
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 13:50
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -7.34%E -3.31%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 13:51
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -7.34%E -3.31%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 13:50
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 15:07
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 13:50
picklebet_au🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-23 13:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 15:30
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 15:30
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 15:25
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.35%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-22 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.35%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-22 09:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.51%EV -10.28%E -3.45%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.15%EV -9.07%E -2.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -11.18%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-23 13:51
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -11.18%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.17%EV -7.75%E -3.51%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-23 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -11.18%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.28%EV -13.18%E -6.34%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.32%E -3.59%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-22 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -11.18%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.28%EV -13.18%E -6.34%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.32%E -3.59%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-23 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -11.18%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.28%EV -13.18%E -6.34%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.32%E -3.59%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-22 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.69%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 13:51
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.69%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-23 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -13.29%E -4.61%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.91%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 13:51
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -14.19%E -4.98%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -12.35%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-23 06:40
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -15.70%E -5.61%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -12.35%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-23 08:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-10-23 15:07
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-10-23 15:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-10-23 15:07
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-10-23 15:07
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-10-23 15:07