The School of Odds
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Boulogne v Stade de Reims

Kickoff: 2026-10-26 19:45 UTC

Final: Boulogne 1–1 Stade de Reims

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boulogne (Local)

Prediction 29.11%3.44fair odd
EV +0.423%
Edge +0.123%
Kelly +0.173%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.99%29.00%29.17%30.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.4533.33%31.27%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade de Reims (Visit)

Prediction 41.41%2.41fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.39%41.55%41.27%44.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.3450.00%45.72%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.48%3.39fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%29.45%29.56%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.103.103.3033.90%32.22%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boulogne (Local): 29.11%; Stade de Reims (Visit): 41.41%; Draw: 29.48%. For Boulogne (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.423%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.423%E +0.123%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 11:35
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.423%E +0.123%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 11:35
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.423%E +0.123%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 11:34
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.423%E +0.123%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.423%E +0.123%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.423%E +0.123%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 11:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.423%E +0.123%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 11:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.423%E +0.123%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 11:35
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.423%E +0.123%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 11:35
1xBet🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 27.62%EV -1.32%E -0.390%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.37%EV -8.48%E -3.84%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.02%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 19:43
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-26 19:43
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -13.03%E -6.21%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -2.72%E -0.824%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-26 19:00
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -15.10%E -7.37%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-26 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -15.10%E -7.37%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-26 11:34
Pinnacle🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.28%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.17%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.55%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 19:44
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -5.40%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -2.72%E -0.824%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 19:00
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.40%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.40%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.58%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -5.40%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.58%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 19:09
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -5.40%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -17.17%E -8.59%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-26 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -5.40%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.58%EV -16.35%E -8.09%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-26 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -5.40%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.58%EV -16.35%E -8.09%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-26 11:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -5.40%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.58%EV -16.35%E -8.09%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-26 11:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.88%EV -6.27%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.06%E -3.63%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.24%EV -6.26%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 19:00
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 19:09
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 19:10
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 19:00
picklebet_au🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 19:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.96%E -5.10%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:35
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.31%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 19:00
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.31%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 19:00
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.31%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:41
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.31%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.86%EV -10.13%E -4.67%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-26 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -8.31%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.96%E -5.10%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-26 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.96%E -5.10%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 19:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 19:10
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-26 19:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 19:05
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:35
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:10
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 29.14%EV -10.64%E -3.47%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.23%EV -10.13%E -4.67%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.63%EV -10.97%E -3.63%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-26 19:20
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -11.22%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-26 19:26
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -8.02%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-26 19:14
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -8.02%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-26 19:14
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:26
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.96%E -5.10%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 19:44
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.96%E -5.10%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 19:10
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 19:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.89%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.56%E -3.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.68%E -4.23%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -13.03%E -6.21%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-26 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-10-26 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-10-26 19:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-10-26 19:26
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-10-26 19:44
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96%1.1%2026-10-26 19:35