Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boulogne v Red Star

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-21 18:00 UTC

Score final : Boulogne 1–1 Red Star

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boulogne (Local)

Prévision 25.37%3.94cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.268%
Kelly -0.360%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.60%25.40%25.35%26.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.603.9030.30%28.08%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Red Star (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.47%2.20cote équitable
EV -3.61%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.07%45.46%45.39%46.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.032.042.1251.28%49.25%49.02%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.16%3.43cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.693%
Kelly -0.988%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.43%29.13%29.26%30.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.103.3534.48%31.95%32.26%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boulogne (Local) : 25.37% ; Red Star (Visiteur) : 45.47% ; Match nul : 29.16%. Pour Boulogne (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.94. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.90, pour une espérance de -1.04% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -1.04%E -0.268%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -1.04%E -0.268%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -10.43%E -5.29%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:45
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.58%E -0.943%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.58%E -0.943%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -4.51%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.58%E -0.943%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -4.51%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 17:39
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -5.42%E -2.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 16:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -7.24%E -3.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.28%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:44
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 17:44
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 17:44
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-21 17:40
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 17:44
Suprabets🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.00%EV -7.64%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.06%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.94%EV -11.36%E -3.74%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 17:39
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.51%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 17:55
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.51%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 12:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 17:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 16:45
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 16:45
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 17:54
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 17:54
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 16:50
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 17:49
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -11.33%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 16:45
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -9.16%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -4.36%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 17:33
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.51%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.51%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.24%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 14:40
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 12:39
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 12:39
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 16:45
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 16:45
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 16:44
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -15.44%E -5.33%K -8.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 17:39
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.33%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.53%E -4.18%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 16:43
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -2.32%E -0.693%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -2.32%E -0.693%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 12:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -6.70%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 12:44
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -7.24%E -3.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 14:39
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -7.24%E -3.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -7.24%E -3.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -7.24%E -3.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 14:40
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -7.24%E -3.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 14:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -7.24%E -3.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 14:40
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -7.24%E -3.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 14:40
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -7.24%E -3.55%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 14:39
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -15.00%E -4.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.27%E -4.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -9.97%E -5.04%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-21 14:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.27%E -4.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -9.97%E -5.04%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-21 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -16.27%E -4.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.59%EV -10.43%E -5.29%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-21 14:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-08-21 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-08-21 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-08-21 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-08-21 17:39
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-08-21 17:44