Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Boulogne v Dijon

Inizio: 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC

Finale: Boulogne 1–1 Dijon

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Boulogne (Casa)

Previsione 32.18%3.11quota equa
EV -1.86%
Vantaggio -0.611%
Kelly -0.909%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.61%32.08%32.14%34.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.862.883.0537.74%34.95%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Dijon (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.44%2.67quota equa
EV -2.66%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.46%37.44%37.39%38.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.462.482.6042.55%40.60%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.39%3.29quota equa
EV -2.76%
Vantaggio -0.863%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.19%30.47%30.47%33.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.023.053.2036.36%33.06%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Boulogne (Casa): 32.18%; Dijon (Trasferta): 37.44%; Pareggio: 30.39%. Per Boulogne (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.11. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.05, con un valore atteso del -1.86%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -1.86%E -0.611%K -0.909%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.76%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.67%EV -4.58%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 10:30
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -1.86%E -0.611%K -0.909%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.76%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.67%EV -4.58%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:09
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.19%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:24
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -5.19%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:23
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 11:49
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.08%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -2.76%E -0.863%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:30
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.33%EV -6.05%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.65%EV -6.41%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 09:59
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.07%EV -6.05%E -2.07%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.91%EV -7.53%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -5.19%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -6.37%E -2.19%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.06%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -5.19%E -1.66%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.28%E -1.36%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:30
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 13:09
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 11:05
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:45
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:45
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:45
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:44
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 10:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 13:25
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:10
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 09:15
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 09:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 09:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.07%EV -7.66%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.26%EV -7.53%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 10:55
Suprabets🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.69%EV -7.66%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -9.40%E -3.89%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.73%EV -10.05%E -3.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 10:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 13:30
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -5.66%E -2.25%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 08:15
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -5.66%E -2.25%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 08:15
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 10:57
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 13:04
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 08:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.41%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.76%E -0.863%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 08:30
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -12.02%E -5.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:25
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 08:45
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -10.90%E -4.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -10.90%E -4.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 08:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -11.52%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -10.90%E -4.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 08:20
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -13.13%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 08:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -2.66%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-09-04 14:05