Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boulogne v Amiens

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boulogne (Local)

Prediction 44.53%2.25fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.04%44.45%44.55%45.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.082.102.1552.36%48.06%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amiens (Visit)

Prediction 25.77%3.88fair odd
EV +0.515%
Edge +0.132%
Kelly +0.178%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.14%25.80%25.74%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.503.9030.77%28.51%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.70%3.37fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.606%
Kelly -0.870%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.76%29.72%31.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.103.123.3035.71%32.31%32.05%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boulogne (Local): 44.53%; Amiens (Visit): 25.77%; Draw: 29.70%. For Amiens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.515%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV +0.515%E +0.132%K +0.178%G +0.001%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.42%EV -6.16%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV +0.515%E +0.132%K +0.178%G +0.001%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.42%EV -6.16%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 15:05
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.74%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.92%EV -0.516%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.34%EV -5.86%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -2.06%E -0.543%K -0.736%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:29
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.29%EV -3.09%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -7.35%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 13:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 18:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 13:35
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 13:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -7.38%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.40%EV -5.15%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -5.15%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -8.53%E -2.77%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.82%E -3.78%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:51
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.82%E -3.78%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 17:50
Suprabets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.36%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.12%EV -6.70%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.52%EV -11.50%E -3.86%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 17:19
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -2.00%E -0.606%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 06:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 15:10
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -7.38%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 06:20
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -7.38%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 06:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.82%E -3.78%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 06:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 06:20
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 06:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 15:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-06 16:04
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.38%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-06 17:46
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-06 15:10
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 15:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:21
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:21
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:25
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:21
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:21
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:25
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 11:30
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.23%EV -14.95%E -7.83%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.60%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.17%EV -16.85%E -6.02%K -9.36%G +0.000%18.4%2026-03-06 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -16.24%E -5.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -16.24%E -5.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -16.24%E -5.00%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-03-06 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-03-06 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-03-06 18:25
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-03-06 18:25
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.1%2026-03-06 18:25