La escuela de los momios

Annecy FC v Pau FC

Inicio: 2026-04-24 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Annecy FC (Local)

Predicción 45.89%2.18momio equitativo
EV -4.55%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -4.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.59%45.84%45.89%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.0852.36%49.83%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pau FC (Visitante)

Predicción 26.85%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.666%
Ventaja -0.180%
Kelly -0.247%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.36%26.80%26.87%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.453.7031.25%29.13%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV -4.57%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.36%27.23%28.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.97%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.55%E -2.19%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 22:00
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.22%EV -5.01%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.29%EV -2.28%E -0.626%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.49%EV -5.12%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.69%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:04
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 10:49
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 22:01
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 11:54
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:39
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:44
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 05:10
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.13%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.48%EV -4.96%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.21%EV -6.85%E -3.37%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -0.666%E -0.180%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 03:45
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.21%EV -6.85%E -3.37%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -0.666%E -0.180%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.85%E -3.37%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.92%EV -5.39%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:53
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -7.31%E -3.62%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -4.96%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.31%E -3.62%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 10:49
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.31%E -3.62%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 10:49
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.99%EV -7.77%E -3.86%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:45
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 45.99%EV -7.77%E -3.86%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:48
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.27%EV -7.77%E -3.86%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 10:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 00:03
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:04
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:04
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:04
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:04
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:04
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:09
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:09
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:09
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:10
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:09
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.04%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 10:50
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 09:09
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:45
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 11:04
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.23%E -4.11%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -9.14%E -4.62%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -9.14%E -4.62%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:00
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 45.08%EV -9.14%E -4.62%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.60%E -4.87%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.35%E -0.931%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:49
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -9.60%E -4.87%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 11:19
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -9.60%E -4.87%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:04
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -9.60%E -4.87%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -10.06%E -5.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:04
Suprabets1.96I 51.02%NM 45.58%EV -10.06%E -5.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 26.59%EV -9.79%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 27.83%EV -12.48%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:46
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.52%E -5.39%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -12.75%E -3.98%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 03:44
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.52%E -5.39%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 18:01
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.52%E -5.39%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.75%E -3.98%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.36%E -6.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.09%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -18.20%E -6.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 18:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.47%2.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%3.4%2026-04-24 03:45