The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Annecy FC v Nancy

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC

Final: Annecy FC 1–2 Nancy

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Annecy FC (Local)

Prediction 28.45%3.51fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.46%28.46%28.46%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.223.253.4033.90%31.07%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nancy (Visit)

Prediction 42.23%2.37fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.50%42.17%42.21%43.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.182.3047.62%45.66%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.802%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.49%29.37%29.33%31.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.3235.71%32.49%32.26%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Annecy FC (Local): 28.45%; Nancy (Visit): 42.23%; Draw: 29.32%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.32, with an expected value of -2.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.25%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 17:30
Pinnacle🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -4.11%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.42%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -2.66%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 17:45
1xBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.45%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.83%EV -4.96%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.65%EV -10.06%E -4.72%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.52%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 17:30
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.26%E -2.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-16 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.26%E -2.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-16 17:50
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-16 17:30
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -7.95%E -3.64%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 17:35
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -7.95%E -3.64%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 17:35
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 17:30
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 17:32
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 17:55
picklebet_au🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 17:35
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.25%E -0.984%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 17:34
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 17:40
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:50
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:50
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:50
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:50
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:50
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 17:30
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 17:30
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -8.37%E -3.86%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-16 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 27.98%EV -8.38%E -2.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.49%EV -10.48%E -4.94%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-16 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 17:30
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -8.53%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 17:34
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -8.53%E -2.73%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 17:35
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-16 17:35
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-16 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-16 17:39
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-16 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-16 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-16 17:30
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-16 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-16 17:29
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-16 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-16 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.65%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-16 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-16 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -5.83%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -14.98%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-16 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -15.56%E -5.40%K -8.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-16 13:49
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -15.56%E -5.40%K -8.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-16 13:49
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-16 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.21%E -4.33%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -7.95%E -3.64%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -16.44%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-16 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.21%E -4.33%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -7.95%E -3.64%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -16.44%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-16 13:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.64%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-16 17:30
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.64%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-16 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -16.06%E -5.44%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.50%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.04%EV -17.91%E -6.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-16 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-10-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.5%2026-10-16 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.5%2026-10-16 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.5%2026-10-16 17:50
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-10-16 17:55