L’École des cotes

Annecy FC v Guingamp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Annecy FC (Local)

Prévision 34.99%2.86cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.467%
Kelly -0.724%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.79%34.96%35.02%35.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.642.8240.00%37.80%37.88%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Guingamp (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.50%2.74cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.23%36.45%36.48%37.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.86%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.50%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.907%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.46%28.58%28.50%29.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.173.133.4034.72%31.53%32.00%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -1.32%E -0.467%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -1.32%E -0.467%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 17:40
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.77%E -1.37%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:24
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -3.77%E -1.37%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:40
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.14%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -3.37%E -0.994%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 17:45
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:04
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:10
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:04
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:04
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.91%EV -6.57%E -2.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -7.65%E -3.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 17:55
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 34.55%EV -6.57%E -2.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 17:38
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -3.27%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.08%E -0.907%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 17:50
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 17:45
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -3.27%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 17:39
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.50%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:46
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 17:50
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 16:05
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 16:04
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -7.97%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.40%EV -7.29%E -2.87%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 17:45
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -7.97%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -7.97%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 17:40
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 17:55
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:45
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:45
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:40
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 17:45
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 17:40
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:50
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 17:49
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 17:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:40
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 17:54
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 17:50
Suprabets2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.20%EV -8.38%E -3.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 17:39
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 17:45
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.77%E -4.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 17:50
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.77%E -4.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 17:45
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.52%E -5.01%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-03 17:39
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.52%E -5.01%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-03 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -12.52%E -5.01%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.91%E -6.22%K -9.52%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-03 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.17%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-03 17:40