La escuela de los momios

Annecy FC v Guingamp

Inicio: 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Annecy FC (Local)

Predicción 34.99%2.86momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.467%
Kelly -0.724%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.79%34.96%35.02%35.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.642.8240.00%37.80%37.88%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Guingamp (Visitante)

Predicción 36.50%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.23%36.45%36.48%37.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.86%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.50%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -0.907%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%28.58%28.50%29.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.133.4034.72%31.53%32.00%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -1.32%E -0.467%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -1.32%E -0.467%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 17:40
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -3.77%E -1.37%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:24
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -3.77%E -1.37%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:40
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.14%EV -4.12%E -1.50%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -3.64%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -3.37%E -0.994%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 17:45
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:04
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:10
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:04
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:04
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:05
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.91%EV -6.57%E -2.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -7.65%E -3.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 17:55
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 34.55%EV -6.57%E -2.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 17:38
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -3.27%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.08%E -0.907%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 17:50
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 17:45
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -3.27%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 17:39
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -6.50%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:46
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 17:50
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 16:05
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 16:04
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -7.97%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.40%EV -7.29%E -2.87%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 17:45
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -7.97%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -7.97%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 17:40
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 17:55
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:45
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 17:45
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 17:40
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.98%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 17:45
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 17:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -8.32%E -3.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 17:40
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:50
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 17:49
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 17:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:40
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 17:54
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.78%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 17:50
Suprabets2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.20%EV -8.38%E -3.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 17:39
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 17:45
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.77%E -4.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 17:50
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.77%E -4.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.57%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 17:45
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.52%E -5.01%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -14.49%E -4.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-03 17:39
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.52%E -5.01%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.64%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-03 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -12.52%E -5.01%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.91%E -6.22%K -9.52%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-03 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-03 17:55
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.17%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-03 17:40