L’École des cotes

Amiens v Troyes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-02 19:47 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Amiens (Local)

Prévision 23.86%4.19cote équitable
EV +0.200%
Avantage +0.048%
Kelly +0.062%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.28%23.92%23.81%25.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.873.904.2028.57%25.84%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Troyes (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.28%1.95cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.05%51.22%51.26%53.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.801.9058.82%55.73%55.56%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.87%4.02cote équitable
EV +0.464%
Avantage +0.115%
Kelly +0.153%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.75%24.87%24.93%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.653.654.0432.26%27.38%27.40%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.67%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.75%EV +0.464%E +0.115%K +0.153%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-02 19:44
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.50%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.530%E -0.133%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:43
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.50%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.530%E -0.133%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:44
DraftKings3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.02%E -0.774%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Parions Sport (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV +0.200%E +0.048%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.02%E -0.774%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV +0.200%E +0.048%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 19:43
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:42
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -5.01%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 19:44
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:44
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:44
Suprabets3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.54%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.19%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-02 19:43
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 19:44
Betclic (FR)3.93I 25.45%NM 23.77%EV -6.24%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.32%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:39
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 19:44
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 19:44
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-02 19:44
1xBet3.91I 25.58%NM 24.30%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.01%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 19:44
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 19:45
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 19:44
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 19:45
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:44
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:43
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -5.76%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-02 19:44
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:44
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:44
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:44
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-02 19:45
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-02 19:45
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-02 19:44
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-02 19:45
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-02 19:45
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-02 19:45
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-02 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 19:45
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:39
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-02 19:44
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-02 19:45
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-02 19:45
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -5.76%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -9.76%E -5.54%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-02 19:45
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-02 19:44
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -16.50%E -4.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-02 19:44
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -5.76%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.56%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -14.21%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-02 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.81%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.36%EV -12.32%E -7.20%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -15.45%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-02 19:45
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.12%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.00%EV -12.83%E -7.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.88%EV -16.69%E -4.98%K -7.10%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-02 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -22.91%E -7.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-02 19:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-02 19:45
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-03-02 19:45