La escuela de los momios

Amiens v Troyes

Inicio: 2026-03-02 19:47 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Amiens (Local)

Predicción 23.86%4.19momio equitativo
EV +0.200%
Ventaja +0.048%
Kelly +0.062%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.28%23.92%23.81%25.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.873.904.2028.57%25.84%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Troyes (Visitante)

Predicción 51.28%1.95momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.05%51.22%51.26%53.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.801.9058.82%55.73%55.56%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.87%4.02momio equitativo
EV +0.464%
Ventaja +0.115%
Kelly +0.153%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.75%24.87%24.93%27.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.653.654.0432.26%27.38%27.40%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.67%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.59%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.75%EV +0.464%E +0.115%K +0.153%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-02 19:44
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.50%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.530%E -0.133%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:43
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.50%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.530%E -0.133%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:44
DraftKings3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.02%E -0.774%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Parions Sport (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV +0.200%E +0.048%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.02%E -0.774%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV +0.200%E +0.048%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 19:43
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:42
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -5.01%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 19:44
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-02 19:44
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:44
Suprabets3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.54%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.19%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-02 19:43
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 19:44
Betclic (FR)3.93I 25.45%NM 23.77%EV -6.24%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.32%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:39
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 19:44
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 19:44
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-02 19:44
1xBet3.91I 25.58%NM 24.30%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.01%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 19:44
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 19:45
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 19:44
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 19:45
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:44
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 19:43
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -5.76%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-02 19:44
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:44
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:44
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:44
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-02 19:45
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -12.92%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-02 19:45
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.96%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-02 19:44
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-02 19:45
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-02 19:45
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-02 19:45
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.34%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-02 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 19:45
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:39
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.72%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 19:44
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -2.19%E -0.533%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-02 19:44
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-02 19:45
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-02 19:45
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -5.76%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -9.76%E -5.54%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-02 19:45
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-02 19:44
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -16.50%E -4.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.96%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-02 19:44
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -5.76%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.56%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -14.21%E -4.12%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-02 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.81%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.36%EV -12.32%E -7.20%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -15.45%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-02 19:45
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.12%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.00%EV -12.83%E -7.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.88%EV -16.69%E -4.98%K -7.10%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-02 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.11%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -22.91%E -7.39%K -10.91%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-02 19:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-03-02 19:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-02 19:45
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-03-02 19:45