La escuela de los momios

Amiens v Pau FC

Inicio: 2026-04-10 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Amiens (Local)

Predicción 39.83%2.51momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.92%39.84%39.81%41.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.312.302.4046.51%43.33%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pau FC (Visitante)

Predicción 34.16%2.93momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.682%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.80%34.17%34.14%35.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.702.8740.00%37.28%37.04%34.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.01%3.84momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.444%
Kelly -0.604%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.83%25.99%26.05%28.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.503.7833.33%28.63%28.57%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:39
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 12:13
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.75%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -1.96%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 17:50
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.43%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -3.67%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.45%EV -1.68%E -0.444%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 17:45
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.58%EV -8.45%E -3.15%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 17:45
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.58%EV -8.45%E -3.15%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 17:45
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.40%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 17:45
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.40%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 17:50
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.40%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 17:44
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.40%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:50
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.40%E -2.73%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:50
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:35
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -7.20%E -3.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 17:50
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.36%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.40%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 17:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:50
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 17:54
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:39
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:44
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:31
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:50
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:45
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 17:35
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 17:35
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 17:45
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 17:45
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.43%EV -9.99%E -4.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.43%EV -9.99%E -4.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 17:55
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.06%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:55
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 17:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 17:50
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 17:54
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 17:55
Suprabets2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -11.18%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.76%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.49%EV -7.14%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 17:53
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.01%EV -11.18%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.72%EV -12.21%E -4.75%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.27%EV -8.18%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -12.38%E -5.63%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -21.97%E -7.32%K -10.98%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-10 17:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.37%E -6.68%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -14.60%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-10 17:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.43%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.34%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.53%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.53%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-04-10 17:55
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.37%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%2.4%2026-04-10 17:55