L’École des cotes

Amiens v Montpellier

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Amiens (Local)

Prévision 27.95%3.58cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.618%
Kelly -0.865%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%27.98%27.93%29.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.253.5033.33%30.63%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Montpellier (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.49%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%46.54%46.44%48.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.002.002.1054.64%49.91%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.56%3.91cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.497%
Kelly +0.664%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.95%25.49%25.63%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.9933.33%28.51%28.57%25.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -2.16%E -0.618%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.75%EV -8.89%E -4.53%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.95%EV +1.98%E +0.497%K +0.664%G +0.013%4.7%2026-04-24 03:50
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -7.49%E -3.76%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.315%E -0.081%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -7.49%E -3.76%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.315%E -0.081%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.05%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -1.85%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -10.28%E -5.33%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -1.85%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:45
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.87%E -0.756%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:44
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -11.68%E -6.15%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.87%E -0.756%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:45
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -11.68%E -6.15%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.87%E -0.756%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:48
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 21:14
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -11.21%E -5.87%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.96%E -4.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.96%E -4.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 03:49
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -12.61%E -6.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-24 03:45
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.17%EV -14.00%E -7.57%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 03:44
Suprabets3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.97%EV -13.54%E -7.28%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.58%EV -7.22%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:46
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:49
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 00:03
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 21:15
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.96%E -4.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 15:10
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:05
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:00
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:04
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-24 03:49
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -14.93%E -8.16%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-24 03:45
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:49
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:50
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 21:14
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:04
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.16%E -0.618%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.28%E -5.33%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:49
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:44
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:44
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:45
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:44
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 21:14
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 21:13
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -8.42%E -4.28%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 13:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 13:00
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 12:59
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -14.74%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:01
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:01
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:01
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:01
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 06:55
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 06:55
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 06:59
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:00
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:01
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 06:59
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 06:55
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:00
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -18.21%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -18.21%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 07:01
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -18.21%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 07:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -11.21%E -5.87%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -23.32%E -7.77%K -11.66%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-23 18:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%3.9%2026-04-24 03:50