La escuela de los momios

Amiens v Montpellier

Inicio: 2026-04-24 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Amiens (Local)

Predicción 27.95%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.618%
Kelly -0.865%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%27.98%27.93%29.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.253.5033.33%30.63%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Montpellier (Visitante)

Predicción 46.49%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%46.54%46.44%48.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.002.002.1054.64%49.91%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.56%3.91momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.497%
Kelly +0.664%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.95%25.49%25.63%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.503.9933.33%28.51%28.57%25.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -2.16%E -0.618%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.75%EV -8.89%E -4.53%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.95%EV +1.98%E +0.497%K +0.664%G +0.013%4.7%2026-04-24 03:50
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -7.49%E -3.76%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.315%E -0.081%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -7.49%E -3.76%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.315%E -0.081%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.05%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -1.85%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -10.28%E -5.33%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -1.85%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:45
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.87%E -0.756%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:44
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -11.68%E -6.15%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.87%E -0.756%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:45
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -11.68%E -6.15%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.87%E -0.756%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:48
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 21:14
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -11.21%E -5.87%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.96%E -4.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.96%E -4.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 03:49
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -12.61%E -6.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-24 03:45
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.17%EV -14.00%E -7.57%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 03:44
Suprabets3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.97%EV -13.54%E -7.28%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.58%EV -7.22%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:46
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:49
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 00:03
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 21:15
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.96%E -4.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 15:10
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 18:05
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:00
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:04
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-24 03:49
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -14.93%E -8.16%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-24 03:45
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:49
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:50
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 21:14
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.75%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:04
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.16%E -0.618%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.28%E -5.33%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:49
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:44
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:44
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:45
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:44
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 21:14
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 21:13
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -8.42%E -4.28%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.34%E -4.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 13:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 13:00
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.35%E -4.80%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 12:59
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -14.74%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -7.03%E -3.51%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:01
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:01
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:01
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:01
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 06:55
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 06:55
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 06:59
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:00
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:01
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 06:59
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 06:55
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -16.93%E -5.21%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 07:00
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -18.21%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -18.21%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 07:01
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -18.21%E -5.69%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 07:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -11.21%E -5.87%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -23.32%E -7.77%K -11.66%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-23 18:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%3.9%2026-04-24 03:50