Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Amiens v Le Mans FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Amiens (Local)

Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.90%25.92%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.603.8030.30%28.07%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Le Mans FC (Visit)

Prediction 46.62%2.15fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.20%46.57%46.64%47.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.981.972.0554.64%50.63%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.53%3.63fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%27.53%27.44%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.23%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Amiens (Local): 25.86%; Le Mans FC (Visit): 46.62%; Draw: 27.53%. For Amiens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -1.75%E -0.460%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.94%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.73%EV -4.47%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 18:55
1xBet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.53%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV -4.75%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.22%EV -6.30%E -3.14%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.22%EV -6.30%E -3.14%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:55
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:55
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.57%EV -8.63%E -4.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -4.75%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 18:55
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.18%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.23%EV -5.58%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:54
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 16:30
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 18:39
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 18:39
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:50
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -9.57%E -4.93%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 18:19
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -10.96%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-20 18:55
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 18:50
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 18:49
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:54
Suprabets🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 25.86%EV -8.99%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.97%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.18%EV -11.08%E -3.43%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 18:33
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 16:30
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:39
Everygame🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:34
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 18:35
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 18:55
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:39
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -11.43%E -6.02%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 18:45
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.96%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -14.69%E -8.03%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -17.41%E -5.80%K -8.71%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-20 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 16:35
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 16:35
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 17:34
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 17:35
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 17:34
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -13.38%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 18:35
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.96%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-20 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-03-20 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-03-20 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-03-20 18:45
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-03-20 18:45
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.05%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%2.4%2026-03-20 18:50