Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troyes v Marseille

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC

Final: Troyes 0–2 Marseille

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troyes (Local)

Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV +0.981%
Edge +0.261%
Kelly +0.356%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.58%26.88%26.80%28.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.7630.77%28.74%28.57%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marseille (Visit)

Prediction 46.62%2.14fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.997%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.09%46.62%46.66%48.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.72%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV +2.10%
Edge +0.547%
Kelly +0.739%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.50%26.54%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.563.8530.30%28.03%28.09%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troyes (Local): 26.86%; Marseille (Visit): 46.62%; Draw: 26.52%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.58%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV +2.10%E +0.547%K +0.739%G +0.016%2.5%2026-10-11 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.58%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV +2.10%E +0.547%K +0.739%G +0.016%2.5%2026-10-11 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.58%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV +2.10%E +0.547%K +0.739%G +0.016%2.5%2026-10-11 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.58%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV +2.10%E +0.547%K +0.739%G +0.016%2.5%2026-10-11 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.547%E -0.146%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 17:59
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -0.547%E -0.146%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:49
Coolbet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.46%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.21%EV -2.09%E -0.997%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -1.87%E -0.506%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 18:09
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.87%E -0.506%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -1.87%E -0.506%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 18:39
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.87%E -0.506%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 18:39
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.87%E -0.506%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 18:35
GTbets🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.02%EV -6.81%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.36%EV -7.69%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.62%EV -2.93%E -0.802%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 17:49
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 18:39
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -8.62%E -4.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 18:39
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -8.62%E -4.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 18:40
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -8.62%E -4.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 18:39
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -8.62%E -4.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 18:40
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.46%EV -11.42%E -6.01%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.76%EV -2.78%E -0.768%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.34%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 18:40
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 18:23
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -3.96%E -1.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 18:39
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 18:03
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -7.69%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 18:39
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.15%EV -8.62%E -4.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -10.48%E -5.46%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.69%E -3.88%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 18:39
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV +0.713%E +0.190%K +0.259%G +0.002%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.48%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -5.59%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 18:39
Pinnacle🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.86%EV +0.981%E +0.261%K +0.356%G +0.003%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.75%EV -3.03%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-11 18:40
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 18:40
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 18:39
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -9.55%E -4.92%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 26.06%EV -0.362%E -0.097%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -3.03%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.65%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 26.06%EV -0.362%E -0.097%K -0.133%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.48%EV -3.03%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.65%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 18:34
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 18:39
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -2.09%E -0.997%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 18:40
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -2.09%E -0.997%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 18:39
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.64%EV -5.36%E -2.64%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 18:40
Everygame🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 18:39
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 18:40
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 18:39
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 18:40
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 18:19
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.42%E -2.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 18:40
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 17:59
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.15%E -4.14%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 18:32
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -9.55%E -4.92%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 18:39
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 17:54
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.82%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 18:40
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 18:34
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-11 18:25
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 18:39
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.75%E -3.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-10-11 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-10-11 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-10-11 18:40
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-10-11 18:40
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-10-11 18:40