The School of Odds
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Troyes v Le Havre

2026-11-20 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troyes (Local)

Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.09%43.96%43.84%45.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.102.102.2152.63%47.55%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Le Havre (Visit)

Prediction 29.08%3.44fair odd
EV +0.313%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.128%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.78%29.11%29.03%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.16%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.862%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%26.92%27.13%27.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.443.403.8231.75%29.06%29.41%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Troyes (Local): 43.88%; Le Havre (Visit): 29.08%; Draw: 27.04%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.82, producing a positive expected value of +3.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.60%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60%EV -3.18%E -0.954%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.80%EV +3.29%E +0.862%K +1.17%G +0.038%1.5%2026-11-02 12:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.61%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -5.79%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV +0.589%E +0.158%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.3%2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.69%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV +0.313%E +0.091%K +0.128%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%EV -2.66%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-02 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.69%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV +0.313%E +0.091%K +0.128%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%EV -2.66%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-02 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.69%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV +0.313%E +0.091%K +0.128%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%EV -2.66%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-02 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.69%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV +0.313%E +0.091%K +0.128%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%EV -2.66%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-02 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.46%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.66%E -0.738%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-02 20:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 12:40
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:40
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 12:39
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 12:40
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 13:30
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 12:39
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -5.50%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 12:40
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -8.72%E -4.19%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-02 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -9.60%E -4.66%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-02 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -9.60%E -4.66%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-02 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.29%EV -13.11%E -6.62%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.47%EV -10.44%E -3.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.24%EV -12.93%E -4.02%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.32%EV -16.62%E -8.75%K -18.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-02 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.27%EV -13.11%E -6.62%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -15.68%E -5.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%EV -14.82%E -4.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-02 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.