The School of Odds
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Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain

2026-10-17 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Strasbourg (Local)

Prediction 15.74%6.35fair odd
EV +4.19%
Edge +0.632%
Kelly +0.745%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 6.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.53%15.86%15.78%17.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.915.806.6220.00%16.93%17.24%15.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Paris Saint Germain (Visit)

Prediction 66.53%1.50fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.17%66.43%66.53%68.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.391.401.4776.34%72.16%71.43%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.73%5.64fair odd
EV -0.689%
Edge -0.123%
Kelly -0.150%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.28%17.71%17.69%19.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.165.255.6021.05%19.39%19.05%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Strasbourg (Local): 15.74%; Paris Saint Germain (Visit): 66.53%; Draw: 17.73%. For Strasbourg (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.35. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.62, producing a positive expected value of +4.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯6.62I 15.11%NM 14.88%EV +4.19%E +0.632%K +0.745%G +0.031%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.01%EV -2.20%E -1.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 18.11%EV -3.53%E -0.648%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-21 11:29
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +2.30%E +0.354%K +0.418%G +0.010%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 10:09
Betr (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +2.30%E +0.354%K +0.418%G +0.010%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.86%EV +1.51%E +0.234%K +0.277%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -4.87%E -3.40%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.09%EV -6.01%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 11:23
Pinnacle🎯6.01I 16.64%NM 15.72%EV -5.41%E -0.901%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.53%EV -5.53%E -3.89%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.76%EV -5.65%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.57%E -0.928%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -8.86%E -6.47%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 09:19
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -5.57%E -0.928%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 09:19
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.57%E -0.928%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.53%EV -11.52%E -8.66%K -34.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -0.689%E -0.123%K -0.150%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-21 09:19
William Hill🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -8.72%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-21 09:54
Winamax (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -8.72%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.44%EV -10.19%E -7.55%K -29.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -4.24%E -0.784%K -0.963%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.20%EV -8.72%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 66.80%EV -12.18%E -9.23%K -38.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-21 09:15
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -9.51%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.95%EV -6.20%E -4.39%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -7.78%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 09:55
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -9.51%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 09:50
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -9.51%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-21 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -9.51%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-21 09:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -9.51%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-21 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -10.29%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.66%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-21 09:48
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.32%EV -16.59%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 66.03%EV -12.85%E -9.81%K -41.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.65%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-21 09:20
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -15.76%E -3.32%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-21 09:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.40I 18.52%NM 15.88%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.65%16.6%2026-09-21 09:20