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RC Lens v Paris FC

2026-10-24 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RC Lens (Local)

Prediction 45.34%2.21fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.952%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.74%45.27%45.46%46.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.052.052.1652.08%48.74%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Paris FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.08%3.44fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.469%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.55%29.02%29.13%30.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.203.4033.90%31.61%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.58%3.91fair odd
EV -0.769%
Edge -0.198%
Kelly -0.267%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.70%25.42%26.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.8829.41%27.54%27.78%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: RC Lens (Local): 45.34%; Paris FC (Visit): 29.08%; Draw: 25.58%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.88, with an expected value of -0.769%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.58%EV -2.06%E -0.952%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.04%EV -1.42%E -0.418%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.38%EV -0.769%E -0.198%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-11 13:44
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.35%EV -3.33%E -0.880%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 14:24
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.81%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 13:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.81%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.81%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 13:04
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.81%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.13%E -0.331%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 13:34
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 13:19
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 13:24
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 13:05
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.40%E -4.16%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.31%E -4.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 13:00
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.31%E -4.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -10.67%E -5.42%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.94%E -6.74%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-11 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.14%EV -12.94%E -6.74%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.38%EV -14.21%E -4.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-11 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 44.72%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%5.0%2026-10-11 13:10