默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

RC Lens v Lyon

2026-10-09 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

RC Lens (主队)

预测 44.93%2.23公平赔率
EV -0.698%
优势 -0.316%
Kelly -0.577%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.21

博彩公司预测分布
44.42%44.94%44.95%45.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.942.062.052.2151.55%48.46%48.78%45.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lyon (客队)

预测 29.40%3.40公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -0.626%
Kelly -0.895%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.33

博彩公司预测分布
28.77%29.37%29.34%30.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.143.193.3335.09%31.81%31.35%30.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.66%3.90公平赔率
EV +2.65%
优势 +0.663%
Kelly +0.884%
增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.84%25.69%25.71%26.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.623.604.0029.41%27.63%27.78%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:RC Lens (主队):44.93%;Lyon (客队):29.40%;平局:25.66%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.90。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.00,由此产生+2.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +2.65%E +0.663%K +0.884%G +0.023%4.9%2026-09-16 14:35
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.60%EV -0.698%E -0.316%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60%EV -2.09%E -0.626%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.80%EV -1.97%E -0.515%K -0.697%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-16 14:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.48%E -0.653%K -0.886%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 14:35
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.85%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.46%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.61%EV -3.39%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-16 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -10.13%E -5.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.41%EV -10.13%E -5.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.01%EV -7.97%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 19:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 14:50
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 14:55
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-16 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.38%E -6.35%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-16 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.42%EV -12.83%E -6.61%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -16.20%E -5.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -12.74%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-16 16:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 43.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%16.0%2026-09-16 19:05