Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paris Saint Germain v Lorient

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 15:00 UTC

Final: Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Lorient

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Prediction 70.67%1.42fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.81%70.53%70.85%72.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.331.3978.74%75.05%75.19%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lorient (Visit)

Prediction 12.11%8.26fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.348%
Kelly +0.395%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.97%12.26%11.92%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.757.908.5015.38%12.91%12.66%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.22%5.81fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +0.553%
Kelly +0.663%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.88%17.20%17.23%19.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.455.506.0022.22%18.34%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Paris Saint Germain (Local): 70.67%; Lorient (Visit): 12.11%; Draw: 17.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.20%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.32%E +0.553%K +0.663%G +0.022%4.9%2026-05-02 14:41
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.20%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +3.32%E +0.553%K +0.663%G +0.022%4.9%2026-05-02 14:30
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.82%EV -1.77%E -1.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.61%EV -13.63%E -1.91%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.56%EV +0.906%E +0.155%K +0.186%G +0.002%3.0%2026-05-02 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -15.21%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.36%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.81%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV -0.068%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.88%EV -0.988%E -0.172%K -0.208%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 04:05
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.41%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.83%EV -1.28%E -0.157%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.77%EV -0.988%E -0.172%K -0.208%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:45
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.81%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.95%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.03%EV -13.76%E -1.93%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.16%EV -1.16%E -0.202%K -0.245%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -8.13%E -6.26%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -1.85%E -0.324%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.81%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.84%EV -1.28%E -0.157%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23%EV -3.57%E -0.638%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.81%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.84%EV -1.28%E -0.157%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23%EV -3.57%E -0.638%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 00:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.43%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22%EV -3.57%E -0.638%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.43%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22%EV -3.57%E -0.638%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.43%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22%EV -3.57%E -0.638%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.43%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22%EV -3.57%E -0.638%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.43%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22%EV -3.57%E -0.638%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.61%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.26%EV -12.79%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%EV -3.57%E -0.638%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.87%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.24%E -2.70%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV -3.57%E -0.638%K -0.776%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.82%EV -0.674%E -0.082%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.46%EV -4.43%E -0.799%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 14:56
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.69%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -12.18%E -1.68%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 08:30
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 14:25
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 14:35
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 14:36
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 14:35
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 14:36
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 07:55
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:19
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 07:54
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -15.21%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 05:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -15.21%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 14:50
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -15.21%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -15.21%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -15.21%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 08:30
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:30
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 14:35
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.13%E -6.26%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.29%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:10
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.15%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:54
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -6.15%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:55
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -4.31%E -0.545%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -7.02%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -4.31%E -0.545%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -7.02%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.75%EV -8.13%E -6.26%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +2.96%E +0.348%K +0.395%G +0.012%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -7.02%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:05
Suprabets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -7.02%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:28
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.49%EV -8.13%E -6.26%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.74%E -1.65%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.49%EV -8.13%E -6.26%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.74%E -1.65%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:35
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.13%E -6.26%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.44%EV -10.97%E -1.49%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -8.74%E -1.65%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -10.25%E -8.07%K -37.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -8.74%E -1.65%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 14:36
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -9.60%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 14:41
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -9.60%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.98%EV -6.12%E -0.790%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.60%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 07:55
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -9.15%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -13.90%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 14:06
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.67%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.79%EV -12.18%E -1.68%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -13.90%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.13%E -6.26%K -27.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.10%E -0.387%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.90%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 14:25
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.21%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.90%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.21%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.90%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.21%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.90%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -8.13%E -6.26%K -27.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -21.27%E -3.27%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.90%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -8.13%E -6.26%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -15.21%E -2.17%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -22.51%E -5.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.42%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.63%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.95%0.0%2026-05-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%0.5%2026-05-02 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%0.5%2026-05-02 14:55
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 71.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-05-02 14:55
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.81%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-05-02 14:55
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.86%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.65%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%3.1%2026-05-02 14:30