The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Paris FC v Rennes

2026-10-18 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paris FC (Local)

Prediction 40.58%2.46fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.38%40.63%40.61%41.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4247.62%43.89%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rennes (Visit)

Prediction 32.36%3.09fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.715%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%32.25%32.50%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.753.1638.46%35.37%36.36%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.06%3.70fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.721%
Kelly -0.998%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.35%27.13%26.88%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.6031.25%28.79%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Paris FC (Local): 40.58%; Rennes (Visit): 32.36%; Draw: 27.06%. For Rennes (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.16, producing a positive expected value of +2.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%EV -1.79%E -0.740%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 31.14%EV +2.26%E +0.715%K +1.05%G +0.024%3.49I 28.65%NM 28.20%EV -5.57%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-21 11:29
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.49%EV -4.63%E -1.97%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV +1.29%E +0.412%K +0.605%G +0.008%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.10%EV -11.52%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 11:34
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.318%E +0.103%K +0.151%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.64%EV -4.23%E -1.79%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -0.329%E -0.107%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -8.01%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 11:23
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 11:13
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 10:44
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.41%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 09:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.73%EV -11.53%E -5.29%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -4.49%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 09:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -2.60%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.01%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 10:54
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.69%E -3.86%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -11.01%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-21 09:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -10.72%E -4.87%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -11.01%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-21 09:09
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.72%E -4.87%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.01%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.71%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-21 09:09
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 09:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 09:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -2.59%E -0.721%K -0.998%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 09:13
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -14.78%E -7.04%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -8.01%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 09:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -14.78%E -7.04%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -15.86%E -6.10%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -8.01%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-21 09:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 40.86%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%16.6%2026-09-21 09:09