L’École des cotes

Nice v Saint Etienne

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nice (Local)

Prévision 48.70%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.77%48.77%48.64%50.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.932.0054.64%51.71%51.81%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Saint Etienne (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.39%4.67cote équitable
EV +0.121%
Avantage +0.026%
Kelly +0.033%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.62%21.37%21.44%22.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.404.404.6824.39%22.72%22.73%21.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.90%3.34cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.867%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.07%29.86%29.92%30.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.123.153.2534.72%32.03%31.75%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.62%EV +0.121%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.88%EV -3.41%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 18:40
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.22%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -0.521%E -0.112%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.962%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 18:39
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 18:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 18:39
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 18:39
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.57%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 18:39
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -2.82%E -0.867%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 18:17
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -2.82%E -0.867%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 18:19
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.55%EV -3.57%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -3.09%E -0.682%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.23%EV -4.91%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:39
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -3.73%E -0.829%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.54%E -2.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -3.73%E -0.829%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 18:39
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.73%E -0.829%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 18:39
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.73%E -0.829%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 18:19
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.57%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.80%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 18:39
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.57%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.80%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 18:39
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 17:49
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.82%E -0.867%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:17
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 18:39
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.86%EV -7.37%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 17:59
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 18:19
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 18:19
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 18:19
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 18:39
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.93%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:39
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.43%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.43%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-29 18:39
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -11.79%E -4.00%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 18:19
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.37%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-29 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 18:00
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 18:00
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 17:49
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 17:49
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 14:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:39
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 47.77%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -12.29%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.68%EV -13.88%E -4.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-29 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.6%2026-05-29 18:39
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.1%2026-05-29 18:39