La escuela de los momiosNice v Saint Etienne
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nice (Local)
Predicción 48.70%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.77%48.77%48.64%50.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.931.932.0054.64%51.71%51.81%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Saint Etienne (Visitante)
Predicción 21.39%4.67momio equitativo
EV +0.121%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.033%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.62%21.37%21.44%22.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.404.404.6824.39%22.72%22.73%21.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.90%3.34momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -0.867%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%29.86%29.92%30.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.123.153.2534.72%32.03%31.75%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.62%EV +0.121%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.88%EV -3.41%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.22%EV -4.05%E -2.06%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -0.521%E -0.112%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.93%EV -3.12%E -0.962%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -2.59%E -1.30%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.57%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -2.82%E -0.867%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 18:17 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%EV -1.59%E -0.346%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -2.82%E -0.867%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| GTbets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.55%EV -3.57%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -3.09%E -0.682%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.23%EV -4.91%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -3.73%E -0.829%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.54%E -2.32%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -3.73%E -0.829%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.73%E -0.829%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.73%E -0.829%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.57%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.80%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.57%E -1.80%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -4.80%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 17:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.82%E -0.867%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 18:17 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.28%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.87%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.86%EV -7.37%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 17:59 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.13%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.93%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.43%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.43%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -7.95%E -4.21%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -11.79%E -4.00%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.37%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.01%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -8.80%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -9.08%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-29 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-29 17:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-29 14:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -10.15%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.30%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.77%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -12.29%E -3.00%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.68%EV -13.88%E -4.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |