The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nice v Rennes

2026-10-31 16:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nice (Local)

Prediction 34.82%2.87fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.893%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.39%34.78%34.97%36.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.642.622.8040.82%37.86%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rennes (Visit)

Prediction 39.44%2.54fair odd
EV -0.224%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.147%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.16%39.52%39.31%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.402.5346.51%42.35%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.300%
Kelly -0.406%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.54%25.69%25.71%26.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.8429.41%27.58%27.78%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nice (Local): 34.82%; Rennes (Visit): 39.44%; Draw: 25.74%. For Rennes (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.53, with an expected value of -0.224%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -2.50%E -0.893%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.34%EV -6.93%E -2.94%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.66%EV -4.50%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 21:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -2.50%E -0.893%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 21:07
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 35.43%EV -3.20%E -1.15%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.93%EV -0.224%E -0.089%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.65%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-18 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.38%EV -5.63%E -2.08%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.98%EV -2.98%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.64%EV -3.73%E -0.996%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 19:54
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -5.98%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.92%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-19 00:02
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.98%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 21:09
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.98%E -2.22%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.72%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.72%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 20:04
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.72%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 20:04
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.72%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 21:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -8.42%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -13.24%E -6.02%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 21:07
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -1.41%E -0.563%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 20:04
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 21:24
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 21:25
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.77%E -3.35%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 23:59
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 20:09
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 20:04
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -11.21%E -4.39%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.24%E -6.02%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-18 21:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -12.95%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.96%EV -14.69%E -6.00%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -15.21%E -7.07%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-18 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%4.0%2026-10-18 21:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%5.5%2026-10-18 21:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%5.5%2026-10-18 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%5.5%2026-10-18 21:09
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 34.20%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%9.9%2026-10-18 21:35