La escuela de los momios

Nice v Lorient

2026-08-22 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nice (Local)

Predicción 43.24%2.31momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.95%43.26%43.19%44.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.23%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lorient (Visitante)

Predicción 29.96%3.34momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.343%
Kelly -0.492%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.29%29.96%29.92%31.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.093.103.3034.48%32.35%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.347%
Kelly +0.472%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.77%26.88%28.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.403.7831.25%28.81%29.41%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.80%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 30.13%EV -2.03%E -0.621%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 26.07%EV +1.31%E +0.347%K +0.472%G +0.006%1.5%2026-07-20 02:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.97%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.23%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV +0.508%E +0.136%K +0.185%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-10 22:10
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV +0.508%E +0.136%K +0.185%G +0.001%5.4%2026-07-25 23:59
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.85%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.10%EV -3.53%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -0.296%E -0.080%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-20 02:34
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.01%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -8.62%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -0.832%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 19:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.01%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -8.62%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -0.832%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 19:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -0.832%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 03:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -0.832%E -0.225%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 23:59
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 15:34
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 13:24
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 13:24
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 10:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 03:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 03:15
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-09 08:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -8.62%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 18:50
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.64%EV -3.83%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 19:05
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.68%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -2.03%E -0.621%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.68%EV -5.74%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -2.03%E -0.621%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 15:19
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:30
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 13:20
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 03:52
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 19:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.63%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 17:39
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.88%E -2.22%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 12:55
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 20:30
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.34%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 12:14
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 13:49
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 13:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.12%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-16 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.20%E -4.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.62%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 17:14
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.34%E -3.93%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.12%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:54
Suprabets2.13I 46.95%NM 43.04%EV -7.90%E -3.71%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.76%EV -7.72%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.20%EV -9.68%E -2.87%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 17:11
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 12:14
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.59%EV -11.36%E -5.54%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.49%EV -9.22%E -3.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.92%EV -11.02%E -3.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -1.13%E -0.343%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 23:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 19:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 19:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 19:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.04%E -3.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 19:49
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 41.95%EV -7.47%E -3.49%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -11.62%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 41.95%EV -7.47%E -3.49%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -11.62%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-09 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -13.52%E -6.76%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -11.62%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-19 20:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%5.5%2026-07-26 05:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%5.5%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%5.5%2026-07-26 02:04
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%7.8%2026-07-26 02:25