La scuola delle quote

Nantes v Toulouse

Inizio: 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nantes (Casa)

Previsione 33.46%2.99quota equa
EV +2.37%
Vantaggio +0.776%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescita +0.027%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.70%33.55%33.47%36.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.432.752.803.0641.15%36.33%35.71%32.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toulouse (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.16%2.55quota equa
EV +1.82%
Vantaggio +0.702%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.03%39.13%39.10%40.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.422.402.6044.44%41.27%41.67%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.38%3.65quota equa
EV +1.31%
Vantaggio +0.354%
Kelly +0.485%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.73%27.33%27.43%29.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.453.453.7034.72%29.01%28.99%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV +2.37%E +0.776%K +1.15%G +0.027%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.42%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 18:51
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.31%E -0.442%K -0.669%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -9.92%E -4.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 18:55
BetUS2.94I 34.01%NM 33.08%EV -1.64%E -0.558%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.06%EV -2.48%E -0.998%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.87%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 18:50
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 33.33%EV -2.64%E -0.908%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.11%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.56%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 18:55
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:55
GTbets2.89I 34.60%NM 32.85%EV -3.31%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.39%EV -5.62%E -2.33%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -6.36%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 18:55
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.77%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.75%EV -1.70%E -0.678%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.48%EV -3.07%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 18:45
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:55
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:55
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:54
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.92%E -4.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 18:55
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.92%E -4.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.92%E -4.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 18:55
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.92%E -4.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.92%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.86%EV -7.18%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.22%EV -4.99%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:52
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:55
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89%EV -2.09%E -0.837%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.549%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-17 18:55
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.58%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.07%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 18:45
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.46%EV -5.62%E -2.33%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.54%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 18:50
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:50
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.97%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -5.62%E -2.33%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:49
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.65%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 18:55
Suprabets2.81I 35.59%NM 33.14%EV -5.99%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.97%EV -6.40%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.89%EV -8.55%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 18:49
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:50
Caesars2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:42
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -2.09%E -0.837%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:45
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 18:50
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 18:50
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 18:51
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:49
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 18:50
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 18:51
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -0.917%E -0.363%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.99%EV -7.66%E -2.78%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -0.917%E -0.363%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 18:25
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:55
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:55
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.92%E -4.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 18:55
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 18:51
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.54%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -11.88%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -21.14%E -7.34%K -11.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.73%EV -12.01%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.16%EV +1.82%E +0.702%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV +1.31%E +0.354%K +0.485%G +0.006%3.5%2026-05-17 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.73%EV -12.01%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.16%EV +1.82%E +0.702%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV +1.31%E +0.354%K +0.485%G +0.006%3.5%2026-05-17 18:55
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.73%EV -12.01%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.16%EV +1.82%E +0.702%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV +1.31%E +0.354%K +0.485%G +0.006%3.5%2026-05-17 18:55
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.73%EV -12.01%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.16%EV +1.82%E +0.702%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV +1.31%E +0.354%K +0.485%G +0.006%3.5%2026-05-17 18:55
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.35%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.92%E -4.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -13.01%E -5.01%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -0.134%E -0.053%K -0.086%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -14.69%E -5.76%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -2.09%E -0.837%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 18:51
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -14.69%E -5.76%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -2.09%E -0.837%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 18:51
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -14.69%E -5.76%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -2.09%E -0.837%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 18:55
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -14.69%E -5.76%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -2.09%E -0.837%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 18:54
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -14.69%E -5.76%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 18:55
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -16.36%E -6.54%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.03%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 18:40
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.73%EV -16.36%E -6.54%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.03%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 18:35
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.62%EV -17.03%E -6.87%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.06%EV -4.05%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -5.54%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 18:35
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -18.03%E -7.36%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:30
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -18.03%E -7.36%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:30
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 36.41%EV -18.70%E -7.70%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.18%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%2.2%2026-05-17 18:55