Idioma:Español
Marseille v Paris FC
Resultado del partido
Marseille (Local)
Predicción 57.24%1.75momio equitativo
EV +0.162%
Ventaja +0.093%
Kelly +0.216%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%57.07%57.02%59.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.641.651.7565.79%60.99%60.61%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Paris FC (Visitante)
Predicción 19.86%5.03momio equitativo
EV -0.679%
Ventaja -0.136%
Kelly -0.170%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.95%20.08%19.87%22.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.684.755.0025.00%21.39%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.90%4.37momio equitativo
EV +0.761%
Ventaja +0.173%
Kelly +0.224%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.27%22.85%23.11%24.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.064.054.4026.32%24.63%24.69%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marseille (Local): 57.24%; Paris FC (Visitante): 19.86%; Empate: 22.90%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.37. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.761%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -10.14%E -6.46%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -2.67%E -0.544%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.761%E +0.173%K +0.224%G +0.002% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%EV -0.679%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -1.53%E -0.355%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.71%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.43%EV -2.67%E -0.544%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -1.53%E -0.355%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.12%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -2.67%E -0.544%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -2.67%E -0.629%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.34%EV +0.162%E +0.093%K +0.216%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 20.24%EV -3.26%E -0.670%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.42%EV -3.59%E -0.853%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -0.679%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.65%E -0.969%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -6.64%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -9.00%E -5.66%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.65%E -0.969%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.89%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.41%EV -1.56%E -0.904%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%EV -4.65%E -0.969%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.38%EV -4.96%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.99%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.72%EV -8.23%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.29%EV -5.88%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.65%E -0.969%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.14%E -6.46%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -10.71%E -6.87%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -6.64%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.65%E -0.969%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -3.27%E -1.94%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.65%E -0.969%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.65%E -0.969%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.65%E -0.969%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.62%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 19:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -20.54%E -5.14%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 19:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.85%E -4.88%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.62%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 19:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.85%E -4.88%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.62%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.09%EV -13.00%E -8.55%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -16.57%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.25%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.18%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -13.99%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 23.67%EV -11.38%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.81% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
Arbitraje (2 combinaciones) +0.13%1xBet 1.75 (57.2%) / betfred_uk 5.00 (20.0%) / Tipico (DE) 4.40 (22.8%)Ver las 2 combinaciones
| Marseille (Local) | Paris FC (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 1.75 (57.2%) | Coolbet🎯 5.00 (20.0%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (22.8%) | +0.130% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.75 (57.2%) | betfred_uk🎯 5.00 (20.0%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (22.8%) | +0.130% |