StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lille v Paris Saint Germain

2026-08-28 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Matchresultat

34 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lille (Hemma)

Prognos 22.77%4.39rättvist odds
EV +0.629%
Fördel +0.142%
Kelly +0.184%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.51%22.81%22.71%24.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.104.104.4226.67%24.38%24.39%22.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Paris Saint Germain (Borta)

Prognos 52.64%1.90rättvist odds
EV -1.56%
Fördel -0.833%
Kelly -1.79%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.89%52.57%52.60%54.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.681.781.781.8759.52%56.17%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.59%4.07rättvist odds
EV -1.64%
Fördel -0.409%
Kelly -0.546%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.88%24.63%24.69%26.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.773.804.0027.78%26.54%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Lille (Hemma): 22.77%; Paris Saint Germain (Borta): 52.64%; Oavgjort: 24.59%. För Lille (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.39. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.42, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.629%.

Spelbolagsodds (34 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.51%EV +0.629%E +0.142%K +0.184%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 17:00
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV +0.174%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.79%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.21%EV -1.64%E -0.409%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 18:19
1xBet🎯4.37I 22.88%NM 22.55%EV -0.509%E -0.116%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.69%EV -1.56%E -0.833%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.76%EV -2.13%E -0.535%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-23 19:19
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.10%E -0.489%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.71%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.74%EV -3.60%E -0.920%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:19
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.10%E -0.489%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 19:29
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -2.10%E -0.489%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 16:44
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -2.10%E -0.489%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 16:44
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.64%E -0.409%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 19:29
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:44
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 18:49
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:44
Pinnacle🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 23.02%EV -5.06%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.17%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.81%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 19:19
Betclic (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -5.52%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.49%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 19:29
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -2.61%E -1.41%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:24
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -2.61%E -1.41%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:24
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 19:30
betano_uk🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 19:27
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 19:23
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.93%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 19:29
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.93%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 17:24
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.93%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.07%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 19:29
Suprabets🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 23.30%EV -10.30%E -2.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.28%EV -5.77%E -3.22%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.43%EV -11.23%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 19:25
Everygame🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.21%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 19:19
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.21%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.21%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.21%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 17:34
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 19:30
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -14.62%E -3.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -11.56%E -6.88%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 19:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-08-23 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.5%2026-08-23 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.5%2026-08-23 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%3.8%2026-08-23 19:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%7.2%2026-08-23 19:40