Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lille v Paris Saint Germain

2026-08-28 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lille (Local)

Prévision 22.77%4.39cote équitable
EV +0.629%
Avantage +0.142%
Kelly +0.184%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%22.81%22.71%24.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.104.104.4226.67%24.38%24.39%22.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Paris Saint Germain (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.64%1.90cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.833%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.89%52.57%52.60%54.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.781.781.8759.52%56.17%56.18%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.59%4.07cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.409%
Kelly -0.546%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.88%24.63%24.69%26.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.773.804.0027.78%26.54%26.32%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lille (Local) : 22.77% ; Paris Saint Germain (Visiteur) : 52.64% ; Match nul : 24.59%. Pour Lille (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.39. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.42, pour une espérance positive de +0.629%.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.51%EV +0.629%E +0.142%K +0.184%G +0.001%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.41%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 17:00
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV +0.174%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.79%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.21%EV -1.64%E -0.409%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 18:19
1xBet🎯4.37I 22.88%NM 22.55%EV -0.509%E -0.116%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.69%EV -1.56%E -0.833%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.76%EV -2.13%E -0.535%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-23 19:19
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.10%E -0.489%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.71%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.74%EV -3.60%E -0.920%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:19
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.10%E -0.489%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -5.33%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 19:29
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -2.10%E -0.489%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 16:44
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -2.10%E -0.489%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 16:44
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.64%E -0.409%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 19:29
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:44
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 18:49
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:44
Pinnacle🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 23.02%EV -5.06%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.17%EV -3.14%E -1.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.81%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 19:19
Betclic (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -5.52%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.49%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 19:29
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -2.61%E -1.41%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:24
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -2.61%E -1.41%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:24
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.10%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 19:30
betano_uk🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 19:27
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.66%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 19:23
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.93%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 19:29
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.93%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 17:24
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.93%E -2.23%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.07%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 19:29
Suprabets🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 23.30%EV -10.30%E -2.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.28%EV -5.77%E -3.22%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.43%EV -11.23%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 19:25
Everygame🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.21%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 19:19
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.21%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.21%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.21%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 17:34
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.56%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 19:30
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.79%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -14.62%E -3.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -11.56%E -6.88%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.47%E -3.19%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 19:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-08-23 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.5%2026-08-23 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.5%2026-08-23 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%3.8%2026-08-23 19:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%7.2%2026-08-23 19:40