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Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Lille v Lyon

2026-11-21 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lille (Local)

Prévision 39.85%2.51cote équitable
EV +0.421%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.277%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.64%39.82%39.94%42.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.332.322.5248.78%43.00%43.10%39.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lyon (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.59%2.98cote équitable
EV +0.756%
Avantage +0.252%
Kelly +0.378%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.55%33.60%33.59%35.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.792.773.0040.00%35.85%36.10%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.56%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.381%
Avantage -0.102%
Kelly -0.139%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.37%26.58%26.47%27.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.483.453.7530.30%28.75%28.99%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lille (Local) : 39.85% ; Lyon (Visiteur) : 33.59% ; Match nul : 26.56%. Pour Lyon (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.98. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.00, pour une espérance positive de +0.756%.

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.39%EV -3.17%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%EV +0.756%E +0.252%K +0.378%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%EV -3.04%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-11-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.39%EV -3.17%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%EV +0.756%E +0.252%K +0.378%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%EV -3.04%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-11-02 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.39%EV -3.17%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%EV +0.756%E +0.252%K +0.378%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%EV -3.04%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-11-02 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.39%EV -3.17%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%EV +0.756%E +0.252%K +0.378%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%EV -3.04%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-11-02 13:15
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12%EV +0.421%E +0.167%K +0.277%G +0.001%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.59%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.29%EV -0.381%E -0.102%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.4%2026-11-02 12:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.55%E -3.25%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.55%E -3.25%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:39
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.55%E -3.25%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.55%E -3.25%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.37%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-02 12:39
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-02 12:40
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -9.14%E -4.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-02 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -2.37%E -0.967%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.61%EV -6.97%E -2.52%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.04%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-02 12:40
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.16%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 12:40
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.16%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.16%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.16%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.34%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-02 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.34%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.01%E -3.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-02 13:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.34%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-02 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -2.37%E -0.967%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.37%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-02 12:40
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -10.34%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -11.00%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -5.69%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-02 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -18.31%E -8.93%K -17.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.55%EV -11.00%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-02 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.38%EV -13.53%E -6.23%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.31%EV -11.54%E -3.47%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-02 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.82%EV -14.32%E -6.66%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -16.04%E -6.41%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-02 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Arbitrage (4 combinaisons) +0.32%1xBet 2.52 (39.8%) / Unibet (SE) 3.00 (33.4%) / 1xBet 3.75 (26.8%)Afficher les 4 combinaisons
Lille (Local)Lyon (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
1xBet🎯 2.52 (39.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.4%)1xBet🎯 3.75 (26.8%)+0.318%
1xBet🎯 2.52 (39.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.4%)1xBet🎯 3.75 (26.8%)+0.318%
1xBet🎯 2.52 (39.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.4%)1xBet🎯 3.75 (26.8%)+0.318%
1xBet🎯 2.52 (39.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.00 (33.4%)1xBet🎯 3.75 (26.8%)+0.318%