L’École des cotes

Brest v Strasbourg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Brest (Local)

Prévision 33.23%3.01cote équitable
EV -0.310%
Avantage -0.103%
Kelly -0.155%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.74%33.19%33.24%34.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.822.853.0039.22%35.45%35.09%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Strasbourg (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.20%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.799%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.26%39.22%39.14%40.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.392.5044.44%41.92%41.84%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.57%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.751%
Avantage -0.209%
Kelly -0.289%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.73%27.59%27.63%29.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.6033.33%29.92%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.87%EV -0.310%E -0.103%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.70%EV -1.85%E -0.521%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.4%2026-03-26 05:55
GTbets2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -1.31%E -0.440%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.93%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 00:14
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -1.97%E -0.668%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.42%EV -3.57%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-26 05:14
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.97%E -0.668%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 12:39
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 12:39
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 12:59
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 13:00
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.51%EV -4.61%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 16:00
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 15:20
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 15:20
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -4.63%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 12:40
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -0.751%E -0.209%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 06:19
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.01%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 16:00
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:59
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 15:59
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.96%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 12:39
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-25 15:57
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 05:29
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 12:39
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 12:40
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 12:39
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 12:39
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 12:59
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 13:00
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 02:44
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 16:00
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 21:29
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 01:20
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-25 19:25
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-25 19:25
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-25 19:25
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-25 19:25
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 12:44
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-25 16:00
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -17.29%E -5.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-25 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -8.66%E -3.72%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-26 12:40
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -8.66%E -3.72%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-26 12:40
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-25 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-25 16:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-25 16:00
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-26 13:04
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -15.26%E -5.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.24%EV -10.95%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-23 23:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 33.07%2.22I 45.05%NM 38.73%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19%16.3%2026-03-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51%1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51%1.03I 97.09%NM 40.97%136.9%2026-04-10 12:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51%1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51%1.03I 97.09%NM 40.97%136.9%2026-04-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51%1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51%1.03I 97.09%NM 40.97%136.9%2026-04-10 12:00