La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Brest v Strasbourg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Brest (Local)
Predicción 33.23%3.01momio equitativo
EV -0.310%
Ventaja -0.103%
Kelly -0.155%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.74%33.19%33.24%34.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.822.853.0039.22%35.45%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Strasbourg (Visitante)
Predicción 39.20%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.799%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.26%39.22%39.14%40.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.392.5044.44%41.92%41.84%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.57%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.751%
Ventaja -0.209%
Kelly -0.289%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.73%27.59%27.63%29.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.6033.33%29.92%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.87%EV -0.310%E -0.103%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.70%EV -1.85%E -0.521%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-03-26 05:55 |
| GTbets | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -1.31%E -0.440%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.93%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -1.97%E -0.668%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.42%EV -3.57%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-26 05:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -1.97%E -0.668%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 12:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.66%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.51%EV -4.61%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 15:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -4.63%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89%EV -2.00%E -0.799%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -0.751%E -0.209%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-23 06:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.01%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| Betsson | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 15:59 |
| Unibet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.96%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 12:39 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 15:57 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 05:29 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 12:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 12:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 12:39 |
| betPARX | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 12:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 02:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 21:29 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 01:20 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-26 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -17.29%E -5.76%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-07 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -8.66%E -3.72%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-26 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -8.66%E -3.72%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-26 12:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -11.80%E -5.24%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-26 13:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -15.26%E -5.99%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.24%EV -10.95%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-23 23:03 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.07% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.73% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.19% | 16.3% | 2026-03-25 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.97% | 136.9% | 2026-04-10 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.97% | 136.9% | 2026-04-10 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 29.51% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.97% | 136.9% | 2026-04-10 12:00 |