The School of Odds
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Brest v Nice

2026-10-23 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brest (Local)

Prediction 44.87%2.23fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.793%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.74%44.81%44.89%45.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.082.052.1951.02%48.10%48.78%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nice (Visit)

Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.451%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.24%28.82%28.76%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.203.203.4333.90%31.26%31.25%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.30%3.80fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.442%
Kelly -0.604%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.37%26.35%26.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.7430.30%28.41%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brest (Local): 44.87%; Nice (Visit): 28.84%; Draw: 26.30%. For Nice (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.43, with an expected value of -1.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.96%EV -1.74%E -0.793%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.71%EV -1.09%E -0.319%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 26.33%EV -1.65%E -0.442%K -0.604%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-11 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.73%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.71%E -0.731%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 13:39
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.73%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.73%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 13:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.73%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.99%EV -4.43%E -2.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.69%EV -3.69%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -4.28%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 14:24
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.73%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 13:40
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.73%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 13:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 13:39
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 14:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.84%E -1.47%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 13:39
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.73%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 13:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:39
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.29%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:39
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.17%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.36%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.73%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 13:37
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -12.06%E -6.15%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.22%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-11 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.28%EV -12.06%E -6.15%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.42%EV -14.94%E -5.06%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -13.22%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-11 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 44.74%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.9%2026-10-11 13:55