The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Brest v Lyon

2026-11-08 16:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brest (Local)

Prediction 33.99%2.94fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.748%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.57%33.91%33.94%35.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.9038.46%36.19%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lyon (Visit)

Prediction 39.81%2.51fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.593%
Kelly +0.976%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.25%39.87%39.89%42.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.312.302.5548.78%43.35%43.48%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.22%26.17%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.563.603.7729.85%28.07%27.78%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brest (Local): 33.99%; Lyon (Visit): 39.81%; Draw: 26.20%. For Lyon (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.55, producing a positive expected value of +1.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 35.28%EV -5.16%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.60%EV +1.51%E +0.593%K +0.976%G +0.015%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.11%EV -1.23%E -0.327%K -0.444%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-25 21:18
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.15%EV -7.88%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.25%EV -0.876%E -0.352%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 21:27
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.26%EV -7.54%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.67%EV -1.27%E -0.514%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.06%EV -3.59%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 22:15
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 23:36
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 22:27
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -5.65%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 22:26
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -5.65%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 22:26
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -3.06%E -0.828%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 22:15
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 22:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.45%E -2.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 22:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 22:20
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 22:15
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 22:23
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 22:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 22:11
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 22:10
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 22:14
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -1.42%E -0.490%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 20:40
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 22:27
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -4.82%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -14.41%E -6.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 22:26
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 31.57%EV -3.80%E -1.34%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -16.40%E -7.81%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 22:27
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -16.40%E -7.81%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-25 22:26
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.43%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.92%EV -18.39%E -8.97%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -12.23%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-25 20:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-10-25 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%6.6%2026-10-25 23:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%6.6%2026-10-25 23:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%6.6%2026-10-25 23:01
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 33.76%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%9.7%2026-10-25 23:22