默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AS Monaco v RC Lens

2026-09-18 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AS Monaco (主队)

预测 41.18%2.43公平赔率
EV -1.99%
优势 -0.835%
Kelly -1.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
40.15%41.21%41.15%42.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.262.252.3847.62%44.23%44.44%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

RC Lens (客队)

预测 33.02%3.03公平赔率
EV -0.933%
优势 -0.311%
Kelly -0.466%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
32.24%33.01%33.03%34.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.792.803.0039.22%35.88%35.71%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.80%3.88公平赔率
EV -1.20%
优势 -0.313%
Kelly -0.424%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.83

博彩公司预测分布
24.93%25.77%25.82%26.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.613.603.8329.41%27.67%27.78%26.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:AS Monaco (主队):41.18%;RC Lens (客队):33.02%;平局:25.80%。 对于“RC Lens (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.03。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.00,期望值为-0.933%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%EV -1.99%E -0.835%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.85%EV -0.933%E -0.311%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.73%EV -1.20%E -0.313%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-06 18:15
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -3.22%E -1.37%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -9.19%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -1.97%E -0.520%K -0.705%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.22%E -1.37%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.89%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -3.22%E -1.37%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -9.19%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.31%EV -4.87%E -2.11%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -4.24%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.54%E -2.69%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 14:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.89%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 15:35
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.19%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.28%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 17:45
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.52%EV -5.69%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -3.57%E -1.22%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.91%EV -5.33%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.54%E -2.69%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 14:55
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.19%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.19%E -3.34%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 18:10
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.54%E -2.69%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.54%E -2.69%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.54%E -2.69%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 15:15
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.54%E -2.69%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.34%E -3.26%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.24%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.40%E -4.27%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -10.64%E -4.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.70%EV -8.20%E -2.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -7.65%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.52%E -6.44%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -10.84%E -4.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.96%EV -13.52%E -6.44%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -15.79%E -6.19%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 14:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-09-06 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%8.7%2026-09-06 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%8.7%2026-09-06 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.36%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.4%2026-09-06 20:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 33.41%1.58I 63.29%NM 45.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 21.34%39.9%2026-09-06 20:20